The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Rivadavia 37.9%
Draw 32.4%
Fluminense 29.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
32.3%
32.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
31.4%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
63.6%
18.2%
Independiente Rivadavia - Fluminense Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Fluminense will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.
1. Bolcato N. (G) 36. Bonifacio E. 2. Costa L. 42. Studer S. 3. Elordi J. M. 10. Fernandez M. 5. Bottari T. 25. Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 8. Bucca L. 9. Arce A. (C) 17. Salas M.
1. Fabio (G) 23. Guga 4. Ignacio 3. Thiago Silva (C) 6. Rene 8. Martinelli 35. Hercules 17. Canobbio A. 10. PH Ganso 30. Soteldo Y. 7. Hulk
Substitutes
19. Atencio R. 23. Diaz L. 14. Gomez L. 21. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 34. Moreyra S. 13. Osella A. 7. Ramis V. 45. Sabato L. 43. Sartori F. 32. Vazquez K. A. 28. Vigo A. 40. Villalba I.
32. Acosta L. 14. Cano G. 19. Castillo R. 13. Guilherme Arana 44. Jemmes 46. Julio Fidelis 27. Marcelo Pitaluga (G) 29. Millan J. 16. Nonato 94. Otavio 2. Samuel Xavier 90. Serna K.
Coaches
Berti A.
Marcao
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Hercules 🟨,
25', Studer S. 🟨,
38', Canobbio A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Bucca L. 🟨,
57', Canobbio A. 🟨,
60', Hulk 🟨,
60', Soteldo Y. 🟨,
64', Arce A. 🟨,
66', PH Ganso ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
66', Hulk ↓, Serna K. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Serna K. ⚽, Hercules (A),
82', Soteldo Y. ↓, Millan J. ↑,
82', Bucca L. ↓, Sabato L. ↑,
82', Bottari T. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
87', Bonifacio E. ↓, Vigo A. ↑,
90+4', Castillo R. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 1, Arce A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+8', Elordi J. M. ↓, Villalba I. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Thiago Silva (Penalty Awarded),
1, Fernandez M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Acosta L. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Villalba I. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Rene (Penalty Awarded),
3, Florentin Bobadilla J. I. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Hercules (Penalty Awarded),
4, Salas M. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Martinelli (Penalty Awarded),
5, Arce A. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Guga (Penalty Awarded),
6, Atencio R. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 0-0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Independiente R: Macagno R.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Fluminense: Freytes J.
(Ankle Injury)
John Kennedy
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Reis
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Fluminense: Guilherme Arana
(Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Argentina
Asia
Australia
Bolivia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Brazil
Bulgaria
Canada
Ecuador
Israel
Italy
Mexico
Netherlands
Paraguay
Peru
Portugal
Serbia
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
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Bolcato N. (G) 
Costa L. 
Florentin Bobadilla J. I. 
Fabio (G) 
Soteldo Y. 
Diaz L. 
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