Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Garay C. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2
Australia	beIN Sports 3
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Greece	ERT 2, ERT Sports 2
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 4
Netherlands	ESPN
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2


	Fluminense		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.75	Watch
	1.68	3.25	6.00
	1.7	3.3	5.4	Watch
	1.74	3.49	6.03
	1.71	3.48	5.74
	1.66	3.4	5.9	Watch
	1.73	3.48	5.66	Watch
	1.74	3.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.59)	3.43 ↓ (4.1)	5.76 ↑ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fluminense
55.7%

Draw
27.8%

Independiente Rivadavia
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

22.9%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Fluminense - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Independiente R will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 23. Guga 4. Ignacio 3. Thiago Silva (C) 13. Guilherme Arana 35. Hercules 8. Martinelli 16. Nonato 7. Hulk 19. Castillo R. 30. Soteldo Y.	1. Bolcato N. (G) 36. Bonifacio E. 40. Villalba I. 2. Costa L. 42. Studer S. 3. Elordi J. M. 10. Fernandez M. 5. Bottari T. 8. Bucca L. 9. Arce A. (C) 17. Salas M.
Substitutes
32. Acosta L. 17. Canobbio A. 14. Cano G. 21. Igor Rabello 44. Jemmes 27. Marcelo Pitaluga (G) 94. Otavio 10. PH Ganso 6. Rene 2. Samuel Xavier 11. Savarino J. 90. Serna K.	19. Atencio R. 27. Crego D. 23. Diaz L. 14. Gomez L. 21. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 34. Moreyra S. 13. Osella A. 7. Ramis V. 11. Rios G. 43. Sartori F. 32. Vazquez K. A. 28. Vigo A.
Coaches
Zubeldia L.	Berti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Costa L. 🟨,
45', Ignacio 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Castillo R. ↓, Canobbio A. ↑,
46', Hercules ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
55', Guilherme Arana ↓, Rene ↑,
62', Hulk ↓, Cano G. ↑,
66', Costa L. ↓, Vazquez K. A. ↑,
66', Bucca L. ↓, Rios G. ↑,
70', Nonato 🟨,
78', Soteldo Y. ↓, Savarino J. ↑,
78', Nonato ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
78', Villalba I. ↓, Osella A. ↑,
79', Salas M. ↓, Vigo A. ↑,
89', Fernandez M. ↓, Crego D. ↑,
90+5', Arce A. ↓, Moreyra S. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Fluminense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Independiente R is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Independiente R may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fluminense is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Fluminense: Freytes J. (Ankle Injury) John Kennedy (Knee Injury) Matheus Reis (Knee Injury) Millan J. (Muscle Injury) Thiago Silva (Thigh Injury) Vitor Eudes (Illness)

There will not play in Independiente R: Florentin Bobadilla J. I. (Yellow Cards) Gomez L. (Inactive) Macagno R. (Muscle Injury) Sabato L. (Inactive) Sequeira L. (Inactive)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Fluminense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Fluminense: 9.38% Ind. Rivadavia: 1.93%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
08.08.26	Botafogo RJ - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.08.26	Fluminense - Vasco da Gama	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Vasco da Gama - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.07.26	Fluminense - Bahia	0:0 ✺
26.07.26	Grêmio - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLTTT
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
07.08.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:1 ✺
03.08.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Atlético Tucumán - Independiente Rivadavia	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
12.07.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Tigre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Fluminense	1:1
15.04.26	Fluminense - Independiente Rivadavia	1:2

Upcoming Matches