Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 7

Date: 27 March 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza)

Referee: Zunino S. (Arg)


	Independiente Rivadavia		Racing de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	4	Watch
	2	3.1	3.6
	2	3	3.8
	2.1	3.12	4.03
	2.05	3	3.6
	2.03	3.25	3.88
	2.06	3.15	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.24)	3.12 ↑ (3.05)	3.79 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Rivadavia
45.6%

Draw
29.8%

Racing de Córdoba
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

30.1%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

28.6%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Racing de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	30.8%	30.8%

Independiente Rivadavia - Racing de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Racing de Córdoba will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Independiente Rivadavia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Racing de Córdoba is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Independiente Rivadavia will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.03.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Independiente Rivadavia	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Tristán Suárez	1:3 ✺
04.03.23	Chacarita Juniors - Independiente Rivadavia	3:0 ✺
26.02.23	Independiente Rivadavia - Mitre	4:1 ✺
19.02.23	Chaco For Ever - Independiente Rivadavia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLWL
- Racing de Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.03.23	Racing de Córdoba - Deportivo Maipú	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Villa Dálmine - Racing de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
08.03.23	River Plate - Racing de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
03.03.23	Racing de Córdoba - Deportivo Madryn	3:1 ✺
26.02.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Racing de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWL

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