The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Santa Fe 39.7%
Draw 31.7%
Atlético Nacional 28.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
29.9%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Martinez W. (G) 3. Motta C. 2. Carvajal M. 16. Hernandez K. 21. Valbuena K. 4. Perez A. 24. Marcano T. 17. Garavito D. 7. Zamorano M. 18. Viso Y. 20. Orozco N.
22. Castano S. (G) 6. Ocampo L. 16. Garcia S. 15. Vidal K. 13. Robayo L. 5. Cedeno S. 8. Moreno M. 14. Bustos M. 21. Ibarguen K. 9. Gonzalez M. 4. Isaza E.
Substitutes
5. Baldallo M. 23. Cabrera M. 27. Cardenas H. 14. Castaneda A. 29. Cortes C. 35. Cortes I. 34. Diaz A. 22. Diaz M. (G)
17. Ceballos C. 26. Gongora X. 7. Martinez S. 20. Orrego S. 23. Torres Z. 1. Villareal A. (G) 3. Zambrano A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
28', Cedeno S. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Cedeno S. ⚽, Robayo L. (A),
45+2', 0 - 2, Garcia S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gonzalez M. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
46', Bustos M. ↓, Zambrano A. ↑,
61', 0 - 3, Ibarguen K. ⚽, Martinez S. (A),
64', Orozco N. 🟨,
73', Isaza E. ↓, Orrego S. ↑,
75', Perez A. 🟨,
76', Cedeno S. 🟨,
77', Hernandez K. ↓, Baldallo M. ↑,
78', Orozco N. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
85', Ibarguen K. ↓, Ceballos C. ↑,
90', Moreno M. ↓, Gongora X. ↑,
90+1', Garavito D. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 1.
Santa Fe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.5:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).