Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Play Offs - Final

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Fanatiz


	Independiente Santa Fe		Internacional de Palmira

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	5.75	Watch
	1.35	4.2	7.5
	1.62	3.3	5.15	Watch
	1.67	3.4	5
	1.70	3.21	5.73	Watch
	1.36	4.2	8.5
	1.65	3.38	5.54	Watch
	1.32	4.28	7.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.35)	3.66 ↓ (4.5)	6.35 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente Santa Fe
60%

Draw
25.4%

Internacional de Palmira
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

20.4%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

19.6%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Santa Fe's form might have worsened.

Internacional de Palmira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional de Palmira than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Independiente Santa Fe - Internacional de Palmira Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Inter Palmira will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Inter Palmira (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Palmira (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Mosquera H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 3.

Santa Fe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Inter Palmira's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Inter Palmira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Santa Fe has had a series of away games.

In this match, Santa Fe is the obvious favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:8. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A
25.07.25	Atlético Nacional - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
22.07.25	Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas	0:0 ✺
18.07.25	Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
13.07.25	Deportivo Pereira - Independiente Santa Fe	2:2 ✺
29.06.25	Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 TTWTW
- Internacional de Palmira
Colombian Primera B
25.07.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Internacional de Palmira	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Internacional de Palmira - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:2 ✺
14.07.25	Real Cartagena - Internacional de Palmira	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Real Cartagena - Internacional de Palmira	3:3 ✺
11.06.25	Internacional de Palmira - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
24.04.24	Independiente Santa Fe - Internacional de Palmira	1:0
08.04.24	Internacional de Palmira - Independiente Santa Fe	2:2
Colombian Primera A
17.07.22	Independiente Santa Fe - Internacional de Palmira	1:0
29.01.22	Internacional de Palmira - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1
07.08.17	Internacional de Palmira - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1
26.02.17	Independiente Santa Fe - Internacional de Palmira	2:0
31.07.16	Internacional de Palmira - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1

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