The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Medellín 42.8%
Draw 28.6%
Independiente Santa Fe 28.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.8%
23.5%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.7%
23.2%
16.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Medellín's form might have worsened.
Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (+17.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Medellín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
11.1%
55.6%
Independiente Medellín - Independiente Santa Fe Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Fe: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ichazo S. (G) 30. Palacios H. 39. Escorcia L. 19. Simarra A. 26. Mena Perea E. 14. Perlaza B. 6. Moreno D. (C) 34. Klinger K. 21. Martegani A. 20. Montano J. 11. Yony Gonzalez
1. Mosquera A. (G) 13. Palacios H. 18. Olivera E. 3. Moreno V. 32. Mafla C. 77. Obrian J. 16. Torres D. (C) 7. Torres J. 10. Zapata A. 9. Fagundez F. 19. Bustos N.
Substitutes
10. Catano D. 24. Erazo N. 18. Fabra F. 16. Loboa H. 33. Longas D. (G) 32. Lucumi C. 4. Mantilla K. 31. Moreno D. 5. Varela J.
12. Asprilla W. (G) 43. Caicedo J. 17. Lovera M. 38. Martinez J. 21. Murillo E. 39. Portocarrero C. 11. Rodallega H. 15. Scarpeta Silgado I. R. 6. Toscano Bassa K. D.
Coaches
Perea L.
Repetto P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Zapata A. 🟨,
38', Klinger K. 🟨,
43', Martegani A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Klinger K. ↓, Fabra F. ↑,
46', Perlaza B. ↓, Loboa H. ↑,
48', Obrian J. 🟨,
52', Olivera E. 🟨,
58', Escorcia L. 🟨,
67', Zapata A. ↓, Lovera M. ↑,
70', Yony Gonzalez ↓, Lucumi C. ↑,
73', Torres D. 🟨,
76', Torres D. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,
76', Fagundez F. ↓, Rodallega H. ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Moreno V. ⚽, Lovera M. (A),
88', Montano J. ↓, Erazo N. ↑,
90+1', Moreno D. 🟨,
90+1', Simarra A. 🟨,
90+3', Torres J. ↓, Murillo E. ↑,
90+4', Bustos N. ↓, Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ↑,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 7th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Recently, Santa Fe has had a run of games away from home.
Bookmakers give the edge to Ind Medellín for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ind Medellín has recorded 4 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:21 (averaging 0.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ind Medellín against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:9 goals (averaging 1.1:1 per game).
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Ichazo S. (G) 
Palacios H. 
Martegani A. 
