Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Jaime Morón León (Cartagena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Real Cartagena		Internacional de Palmira

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.1
	1.82	3.3	4.15
	1.86	3.4	4.36
	1.79	3.57	4.32	Watch
	1.83	3.2	3.75
	1.76	3.3	4.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.69)	3.38 ↓ (3.88)	4.18 ↓ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cartagena
51.1%

Draw
27.1%

Internacional de Palmira
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

23.9%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

26%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Internacional de Palmira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional de Palmira than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Real Cartagena - Internacional de Palmira Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Cartagena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Real Cartagena (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Inter Palmira (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Cartagena (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Inter Palmira (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 17. Aleman J. 6. Escobar A. 26. Graciano C. 8. Guevara L. 23. Lora R. 9. Manotas M. 27. Melendez A. 10. Montero F. 14. Pino D. 24. Tegue G.	22. Cuesta W. (G) 13. Angulo J. 4. Ariza Y. 9. Brochero R. 78. Caicedo M. 10. Cardona J. 19. Gonzalez K. 30. Mina Chara J. E. 18. Mosquera J. 14. Orozco D. 80. Suarez H.
Substitutes
7. Barrera J. 18. Ditta Ruiz J. J. 15. Florez C. 12. Fontalvo R. (G) 30. Herrera S. 21. Rodriguez J. 5. Solarte Espana J. A. 29. Tamayo F. 11. Yanes L.	8. Franco Bustillo C. A. 21. Moreno J. 7. Mosquera J. 1. Perez A. (G) 34. Preciado E. 29. Ramirez C. 6. Velez Carey J. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Gonzalez K. ⚽,
30', Gonzalez K. 🟨,
35', 0 - 2, Gonzalez K. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Montero F. ⚽,
40', 2 - 2, Graciano C. ⚽,
45+2', Escobar A. 🟨,
45+4', Mina Chara J. E. 🟨,
45+4', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Angulo J. 🟨,
60', Escobar A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
60', Melendez A. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
61', Ariza Y. 🟨,
62', Pino D. 🟨,
73', Angulo J. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
73', Guevara L. ↓, Herrera S. ↑,
74', Brochero R. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
85', Cardona J. ↓, Velez Carey J. J. ↑,
86', Aleman J. ↓, Florez C. ↑,
86', Manotas M. ↓, Ditta Ruiz J. J. ↑,
88', 🟨,
89', Gonzalez K. 🟨,
90+4', Mosquera J. ↓, Franco Bustillo C. A. ↑,
90+7', Barrera J. 🟨,
90+7', Suarez H. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 1.

Real Cartagena is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Inter Palmira is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Real Cartagena is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Real Cartagena won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Cartagena won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cartagena	11	4	3	4	19:14	5	15
9	Inter Palmira	11	4	2	5	8:12	-4	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
06.03.26	Real Cartagena - Orsomarso	4:0 ✺
02.03.26	Tigres - Real Cartagena	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Real Cartagena - Leones	2:3 ✺
13.02.26	Real Cartagena - Atlético Cali	4:1 ✺
09.02.26	Bogotá - Real Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLWW
- Internacional de Palmira
Colombian Primera B
05.03.26	Real Cundinamarca - Internacional de Palmira	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Internacional de Palmira - Real Santander	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Barranquilla - Internacional de Palmira	0:4 ✺
14.02.26	Internacional de Palmira - Envigado	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Atlético Cali - Internacional de Palmira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
14.07.25	Real Cartagena - Internacional de Palmira	0:0
14.06.25	Real Cartagena - Internacional de Palmira	3:3
26.05.25	Internacional de Palmira - Real Cartagena	0:1
31.01.25	Internacional de Palmira - Real Cartagena	2:0
19.07.24	Internacional de Palmira - Real Cartagena	0:0
03.02.24	Real Cartagena - Internacional de Palmira	2:0
03.10.23	Internacional de Palmira - Real Cartagena	0:1

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