The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ingolstadt 27.6%
Draw 27.7%
Nürnberg 44.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.3%
26.5%
48.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.9%
20.8%
61.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Nürnberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ingolstadt that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (+16.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nürnberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
20.8%
54.2%
Ingolstadt - Nürnberg Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 34.3% – 74.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Ingolstadt has the most likely position - 18 (22.93%), has project points - 34, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Nürnberg has the most likely position - 10 (6.75%), has project points - 46, has currently - 5, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Ingolstadt is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Nürnberg is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Nürnberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Nürnberg will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-12.
Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.
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