Match Info

3. Liga - Round 14

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Audi Sportpark (Ingolstadt)

Referee: Hasmann J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Ingolstadt		Rot-Weiß Essen

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.15	Watch
	2.82	3.7	2.18
	3.03	3.9	2.17
	2.48	3.79	2.43	Watch
	2.81	3.62	2.14	Watch
	2.7	3.85	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.48)	3.74 ↓ (3.79)	2.23 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ingolstadt
33.2%

Draw
24.9%

Rot-Weiß Essen
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

24.5%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

24.6%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Rot-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Ingolstadt - Rot Weiß Essen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Eisele K. (G) 20. Deichmann Y. 32. Lorenz S. (C) 15. Scholz J. 19. Rosenlocher L. 14. Plath M. 22. Costly M. 8. Carlsen F. 17. Besuschkow M. 10. Kaygin D. 29. Kugel J.	1. Golz J. (G) 2. Kostka M. 23. Rios Alonso J. 33. Kraulich T. 14. Brumme L. 26. Musel T. 28. Moustier T. 10. Obuz M. 6. Arslan A. (C) 24. Mizuta K. 9. Cuber Potocnik J.
Substitutes
9. Borchers M. 11. Christensen F. 24. Christensen G. 4. Decker E. 34. Frode L. 47. Klein D. (G) 23. Maljojoki J. 33. Sekulovic D. 7. Sturm Y.	32. Bazzoli L. 19. Bouebari F. 37. Hofmann J. 20. Janssen M. 29. Mause J. 7. Safi R. 4. Schultz M. 39. Swajkowski G. 35. Wienand F. (G)
Coaches
Wittmann S.	Koschinat U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Kugel J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kugel J. ↓, Borchers M. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Cuber Potocnik J. ⚽, Arslan A. (A),
68', Costly M. ↓, Sturm Y. ↑,
73', Scholz J. 🟨,
73', Brumme L. 🟨,
77', 0 - 2, Mizuta K. ⚽, Musel T. (A),
78', Arslan A. ↓, Swajkowski G. ↑,
78', Obuz M. ↓, Safi R. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Kaygin D. (Pen),
83', Rosenlocher L. ↓, Sekulovic D. ↑,
83', Carlsen F. ↓, Christensen F. ↑,
85', Mizuta K. ↓, Schultz M. ↑,
86', Cuber Potocnik J. 🟨,
88', Kaygin D. ↓, Frode L. ↑,
89', Kostka M. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
89', Cuber Potocnik J. ↓, Janssen M. ↑,
90+1', Kraulich T. 🟨,
90+5', Frode L. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Ingolstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ingolstadt won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Ingolstadt - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.38%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Rot-Weiß Essen - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.15%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
31.10.25	Viktoria Köln - Ingolstadt	3:1 ✺
25.10.25	Ingolstadt - Saarbrücken	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Alemannia Aachen - Ingolstadt	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846	4:1 ✺
01.10.25	Verl - Ingolstadt	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWT
- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
02.11.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Schweinfurt	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Duisburg - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Viktoria Köln	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:2 ✺
01.10.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Hoffenheim II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
22.02.25	Rot-Weiß Essen - Ingolstadt	2:0
21.09.24	Ingolstadt - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:2
28.04.24	Rot-Weiß Essen - Ingolstadt	4:0
25.11.23	Ingolstadt - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:1
25.02.23	Ingolstadt - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:1
20.08.22	Rot-Weiß Essen - Ingolstadt	2:2

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