Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: KSK Nika (Oleksandria)

Referee: Solovyan O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV
Spain	LaLiga+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP
World	Onefootball


	Inhulets		LNZ Cherkasy

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.73
	6	3.85	1.55
	5.9	3.9	1.56
	6.31	3.64	1.58	Watch
	4.8	3.4	1.73
	6.09	3.81	1.56	Watch
	6	3.85	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.69 ↑ (4.42)	3.71 ↑ (3.51)	1.61 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inhulets
16.5%

Draw
25.3%

LNZ Cherkasy
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

26.9%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

25.6%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inhulets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

LNZ Cherkasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting LNZ Cherkasy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inhulets than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inhulets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LNZ Cherkasy than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for LNZ Cherkasy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Inhulets - LNZ Cherkasy Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Inhulets will win (votes: 2 - 25%). LNZ will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for LNZ: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. LNZ (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Palamarchuk O. (C) 88. Svystun Vadymovych K. 3. Dykhtyaruk O. 44. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. 17. Katrych V. 6. Losenko I. 8. Pyatov O. 20. Volokhatyi R. 7. Faraseyenko V. 10. Sad V. 59. Mogylnyi B.	21. Kucherenko Y. (G) 33. Putrya I. 5. Salihu H. 4. Dajko A. 18. Kapliyenko O. 6. Tankovskiy V. 2. Makouana B. 15. Jashari M. 1. Thill O. (C) 7. Eynel Soares 22. Momoh F.
Substitutes
21. Benediuk A. 11. Chaban V. 4. Dubilei V. 55. Dzen M. 42. Gadzhuk I. 99. Kyslenko S. 19. Lisnyak R. 2. Malysh S. 14. Melenchuk A. 97. Popov N. 87. Skorokhod M. 36. Zhylkin A. (G)	9. Avagymyan A. 20. Bessala M. 10. Boyko V. 14. Drambayev O. 77. Kushnirenko B. 34. Muravskyi N. 70. Naumets V. 55. Nonikashvili S. 11. Pasich G. 94. Penkov G. (G) 72. Samoylenko K. (G) 23. Topalov D.
Coaches
Kobin V.	Grygorchuk R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Momoh F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Makouana B. ↓, Bessala M. ↑,
63', Svystun Vadymovych K. 🟨,
67', Pyatov O. ↓, Gadzhuk I. ↑,
67', Sad V. ↓, Popov N. ↑,
68', Kapliyenko O. ↓, Pasich G. ↑,
74', Faraseyenko V. 🟨,
75', Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. ↓, Malysh S. ↑,
76', Eynel Soares ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
83', Faraseyenko V. ↓, Benediuk A. ↑,
83', Svystun Vadymovych K. ↓, Dubilei V. ↑,
87', Salihu H. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 11).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

LNZ could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match LNZ is a favorite.

There will not play in Inhulets: Pushkaryov O. (Yellow Cards)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Inhulets won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.6:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Inhulets won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inhulets Petrovo
Ukrainian Premier League
14.04.25	Inhulets - Karpaty Lviv	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Inhulets - Obolon	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Inhulets - Veres Rivne	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Inhulets - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Inhulets - Rukh Lviv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLTWL
- LNZ Cherkasy
Ukrainian Premier League
11.04.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:4 ✺
05.04.25	Chornomorets Odesa - LNZ Cherkasy	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Kolos Kovalivka	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Dynamo Kyiv	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
20.10.24	LNZ Cherkasy - Inhulets	2:0
Club Friendly
23.07.24	LNZ Cherkasy - Inhulets	0:0
Ukrainian Premier League
14.06.23	LNZ Cherkasy - Inhulets	2:1
10.06.23	Inhulets - LNZ Cherkasy	1:1
Ukrainian Cup
22.09.21	LNZ Cherkasy - Inhulets	2:1

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