Match Info

Premier League - Round 24

Date: 14 April 2025, Monday

Location: KSK Nika (Oleksandria)

Referee: Kovalenko A. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	GONET.TV
Czech-republic	goNET TV
Poland	GONETV
Slovakia	goNET TV
Spain	LaLiga+
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP
World	Onefootball


	Inhulets		Karpaty Lviv

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.9	1.52
	5.2	3.7	1.66
	5.25	3.82	1.63	Watch
	6.5	3.8	1.5
	5.45	3.82	1.7	Watch
	5.2	3.7	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.68 ↓ (5.92)	3.79 ↓ (3.85)	1.61 ↑ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inhulets
16.6%

Draw
24.9%

Karpaty Lviv
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

24.4%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

24%

60.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inhulets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Karpaty Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inhulets than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	8.3%	33.3%

Inhulets - Karpaty Lviv Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Inhulets will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Karpaty will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inhulets: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karpaty (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Palamarchuk O. (C) 21. Benediuk A. 3. Dykhtyaruk O. 2. Malysh S. 17. Katrych V. 6. Losenko I. 9. Pushkaryov O. 20. Volokhatyi R. 8. Pyatov O. 7. Faraseyenko V. 10. Sad V.	1. Kinareykin Y. (G) 28. Polegenko P. 4. Baboglo V. 47. Jean Pedroso 55. Stetskov T. 23. Alvarez P. 8. Chachua A. (C) 37. Bruninho 7. Pidlepenets E. 95. Krasnopir I. 26. Kostenko Y.
Substitutes
11. Chaban V. 4. Dubilei V. 42. Gadzhuk I. 99. Kyslenko S. 19. Lisnyak R. 14. Melenchuk A. 59. Mogylnyi B. 97. Popov N. 44. Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. 87. Skorokhod M. 88. Svystun Vadymovych K. 36. Zhylkin A. (G)	3. Adamyuk V. 17. Fedor O. 35. Kemkin O. (G) 18. Klymenko V. 14. Kvasnytsya I. 10. Neves I. 20. Ocheretko O. 33. Shakh A. 21. Tanda P.
Coaches
Kobin V.	Lupashko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Baboglo V. ⚽, Bruninho (A),
12', Bruninho (Pen),
23', Pushkaryov O. 🟨,
37', Dykhtyaruk O. 🟨,
39', Kostenko Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', Pidlepenets E. ↓, Ocheretko O. ↑,
67', Faraseyenko V. ↓, Mogylnyi B. ↑,
67', Malysh S. ↓, Serhiyovych Zhovtenko O. ↑,
72', Krasnopir I. ↓, Neves I. ↑,
72', Bruninho ↓, Shakh A. ↑,
72', Kostenko Y. ↓, Fedor O. ↑,
78', Pyatov O. ↓, Kyslenko S. ↑,
78', Benediuk A. ↓, Svystun Vadymovych K. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Baboglo V. ⚽, Chachua A. (A),
83', Sad V. ↓, Gadzhuk I. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Svystun Vadymovych K. ⚽, Pushkaryov O. (A),
90+2', Chachua A. ↓, Kvasnytsya I. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 6).

Recent matches Inhulets is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karpaty is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Inhulets could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Inhulets have a series of home games.

In this match Karpaty is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Inhulets won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Inhulets won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 1.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inhulets Petrovo
Ukrainian Premier League
04.04.25	Inhulets - Obolon	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Inhulets - Veres Rivne	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Inhulets - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Inhulets - Rukh Lviv	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Inhulets - Kryvbas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.5 LTWLW
- Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
07.04.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Karpaty Lviv	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Karpaty Lviv - Chornomorets Odesa	4:0 ✺
11.03.25	Karpaty Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
06.03.25	Vorskla Poltava - Karpaty Lviv	0:0 ✺
28.02.25	Karpaty Lviv - LNZ Cherkasy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
04.10.24	Karpaty Lviv - Inhulets	0:0
Ukrainian Persha Liga
24.05.24	Inhulets - Karpaty Lviv	2:1
19.04.24	Karpaty Lviv - Inhulets	1:2
Ukrainian Cup
25.09.19	Inhulets - Karpaty Lviv	1:0 penalties
07.04.19	Inhulets - Karpaty Lviv	2:1 penalties

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