Match Info

Premier League - Round 23

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday

Location: Cherkasy Arena (Cherkasy)

Referee: Shandor O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	LNZ Cherkasy		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.45	3.1	1.88
	4.77	3.2	2.04
	4.86	3.73	1.8	Watch
	3.8	2.8	2.1
	4.41	3.05	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↓ (4.77)	3.18 ↓ (3.84)	1.95 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LNZ Cherkasy
21.3%

Draw
29.9%

Shakhtar Donetsk
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

24.8%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

23.8%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LNZ Cherkasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shakhtar Donetsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LNZ Cherkasy than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shakhtar Donetsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

LNZ Cherkasy - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Shakhtar Donetsk will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Palamarchuk O. (G) 11. Pasich G. 25. Gorin O. 34. Muravskyi N. (C) 14. Drambayev O. 29. Didyk R. 23. Kravchuk D. 16. Ryabov A. 19. Pastukh Y. 17. Kuzyk D. 90. Assinor M.	31. Riznyk D. (G) 26. Konoplya Y. 5. Bondar V. (C) 4. Marlon 13. Henrique P. 29. Nazaryna Y. 30. Alisson 21. Bondarenko A. 10. Pedrinho 7. Eguinaldo 2. Traore L.
Substitutes
27. Bennette J. 4. Dajko A. 1. Ledviy D. (G) 21. Lepskyi O. 7. Mykytyshyn A. 5. Nonikashvili S. 33. Putrya I. 72. Samoylenko K. (G) 22. Tverdokhlib Y. 8. Yakubu A.	16. Azarovi I. 18. Ghram A. 19. Kaua Elias 49. Luca Meirelles 37. Lucas Ferreira 11. Newerton 68. Obah P. 27. Ocheretko O. 45. Smetana D. 17. Tobias V. 48. Tvardovskyi D. (G)
Coaches
Ponomaryov V.	Turan A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Ryabov A. (Own goal),
28', 1 - 1, Bondar V. (Own goal),
34', 1 - 2, Eguinaldo ⚽, Riznyk D. (A),
45+5', 2 - 2, Assinor M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pedrinho ↓, Ocheretko O. ↑,
63', Assinor M. ↓, Mykytyshyn A. ↑,
77', Bondarenko A. ↓, Newerton ↑,
79', Kravchuk D. ↓, Tverdokhlib Y. ↑,
86', Eguinaldo ↓, Matviienko M. ↑,
90', Alisson 🟨,
90+1', Alisson ↓, Obah P. ↑,
90+2', Bondar V. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, LNZ won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

LNZ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Shakhtar has had a series of home games.

In this match, Shakhtar is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, LNZ won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 1.2:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, LNZ won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Shakhtar Donetsk	7	6	0	1	15:4	11	18
8	LNZ Cherkasy	7	2	2	3	5:8	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LNZ Cherkasy
Ukrainian Premier League
05.04.26	Kryvbas - LNZ Cherkasy	0:3 ✺
21.03.26	Rukh Lviv - LNZ Cherkasy	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Oleksandriya	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Veres Rivne - LNZ Cherkasy	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
04.03.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWL
- Shakhtar Donetsk
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.04.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - AZ Alkmaar	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
05.04.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Rukh Lviv	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.03.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Lech Poznań	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
15.03.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	Lech Poznań - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.02.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:0
Ukrainian Premier League
05.10.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - LNZ Cherkasy	1:4
11.04.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:4
06.10.24	Shakhtar Donetsk - LNZ Cherkasy	5:1
27.04.24	LNZ Cherkasy - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:3
21.10.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - LNZ Cherkasy	3:0

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