Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 30

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Institute FC		Armagh City

	1	X	2
	1.05	9.8	28
	1.02	16.54	26.18
	1.05	10.8	24.11	Watch
	1.05	9.5	26
	1.06	9.4	16.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 (1.05)	11.21 ↑ (10.52)	24.16 ↑ (23.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Institute FC
88%

Draw
8.2%

Armagh City
3.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.4%

8.7%

3.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Institute FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The chances for Armagh City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Institute FC - Armagh City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

Armagh is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Institute won 4.

In recent matches, Institute has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Armagh is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Armagh may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Institute is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Institute won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 2.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Institute won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Institute	10	5	1	4	20:17	3	16
16	Armagh	10	0	5	5	8:16	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Institute FC
Northern Irish Championship
21.02.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - Institute FC	1:4 ✺
17.02.26	Annagh United - Institute FC	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Institute FC - Limavady United	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Ballinamallard United - Institute FC	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.01.26	Institute FC - Derry City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WLLWL
- Armagh City
Northern Irish Championship
21.02.26	Armagh City - Newington	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Annagh United - Armagh City	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Armagh City - Dundela	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Limavady United - Armagh City	5:0 ✺
17.01.26	Armagh City - Warrenpoint Town	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
01.11.25	Institute FC - Armagh City	2:1
23.08.25	Armagh City - Institute FC	1:3
19.04.25	Institute FC - Armagh City	4:3
14.03.25	Armagh City - Institute FC	1:2
22.11.24	Institute FC - Armagh City	0:0
10.08.24	Armagh City - Institute FC	2:2

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