Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 25

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Armagh City		Warrenpoint Town

	1	X	2
	8.4	6.5	1.23
	8.62	6.78	1.21	Watch
	9	6.35	1.2
	10	6.33	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.01 ↑ (5.65)	6.49 ↑ (4.76)	1.2 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Armagh City
10.1%

Draw
14%

Warrenpoint Town
75.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

19.3%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

18.5%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Armagh City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Armagh City's form might have worsened.

Warrenpoint Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Warrenpoint Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Armagh City than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Armagh City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrenpoint Town than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Warrenpoint Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Armagh City - Warrenpoint Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Warrenpoint Town (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Warrenpoint Town (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 4)

Preview

Armagh is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Warrenpoint Town's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Armagh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Warrenpoint Town is a strong favorite.

We predict that Warrenpoint Town will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Armagh won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Including home match between the teams, Armagh won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Warrenpoint	10	4	2	4	18:15	3	14
16	Armagh	10	0	5	5	8:16	-8	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Armagh City
Northern Irish Championship
03.01.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - Armagh City	12:0 ✺
30.12.25	Armagh City - Ards	0:8 ✺
26.12.25	Loughgall - Armagh City	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Armagh City - Ballinamallard United	0:3 ✺
13.12.25	Limavady United - Armagh City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Warrenpoint Town
Northern Irish Championship
30.12.25	Warrenpoint Town - Harland & Wolff Welders	0:3 ✺
26.12.25	Ards - Warrenpoint Town	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Warrenpoint Town - Loughgall	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Ballinamallard United - Warrenpoint Town	0:4 ✺
29.11.25	Warrenpoint Town - Queens University Belfast	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
15.11.25	Armagh City - Warrenpoint Town	0:2

Armagh City - Warrenpoint Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide