Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 26

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Ards		Institute FC

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.7	3.4
	1.95	3.43	3.31
	1.93	3.7	3.35	Watch
	1.9	3.44	3.51
	1.94	3.4	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.85)	3.53 ↓ (3.71)	3.38 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ards
47.4%

Draw
25.7%

Institute FC
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

24.5%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

24.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ards has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Institute FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ards than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Institute FC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Ards - Institute FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ards won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Ards has had a series of away games.

Ards might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Ards won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ards won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.6:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Institute	10	5	1	4	20:17	3	16
11	Ards	10	3	3	4	12:13	-1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Institute FC - the odds 3.46 are the expected chance of winning is 26.25%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ards FC
Northern Irish Championship
17.01.26	Newington - Ards	2:0 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
10.01.26	Dungannon Swifts - Ards	3:0 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
30.12.25	Armagh City - Ards	0:8 ✺
26.12.25	Ards - Warrenpoint Town	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Dundela - Ards	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWTW
- Institute FC
Northern Irish Championship
17.01.26	Institute FC - Dundela	2:1 ✺
Northern Irish Cup
13.01.26	Ballinamallard United - Institute FC	0:3 ✺
Northern Irish Championship
30.12.25	Institute FC - Newington	3:3 ✺
26.12.25	Limavady United - Institute FC	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Queens University Belfast - Institute FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
25.10.25	Ards - Institute FC	0:3
16.08.25	Institute FC - Ards	2:2
18.03.25	Institute FC - Ards	2:3
16.11.24	Institute FC - Ards	2:4
28.09.24	Ards - Institute FC	0:0
Northern Irish Cup
03.02.24	Institute FC - Ards	1:0
Northern Irish Championship
27.01.24	Ards - Institute FC	2:2

Ards - Institute FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide