The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Instituto Córdoba 49.4%
Draw 30.7%
San Lorenzo 19.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.8%
29.9%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
28.8%
22.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64.3%
21.4%
14.3%
Instituto Córdoba - San Lorenzo Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Instituto will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). San Lorenzo will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Instituto: 39.2% – 89.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
29. Ledesma M. (G) 30. Galvan J. 26. Mosevich L. 6. Alarcon F. R. (C) 44. Cerato G. 55. Abregu G. 15. Gallardo M. 3. Sosa D. 20. Cordoba Mosquera J. E. 17. Tissera M. 21. Lazaro J.
25. Devecchi J. (G) 32. Herrera E. 2. Arboleda D. 19. Amor E. 3. Rodriguez Pagano T. 5. Perruzzi I. 11. Reali M. 22. Alvarez J. 24. Tripichio N. (C) 9. Cuello A. 29. Auzmendi R.
Substitutes
8. Acevedo J. 90. Baster P. 32. Bravo A. 2. De La Fuente H. 11. Fonseca M. 7. Guerra N. 22. Massaccesi A. 23. Meli A. 13. Mendez J. 35. Sittaro Miranda E. O. (G) 9. Suarez F. 14. Viera W.
62. Alassia G. 20. Altamirano F. (G) 35. Cordoba A. 16. Corujo G. 6. De Ritis M. 10. Gulli F. 8. Insaurralde M. 14. Ladstatter A. 39. Ojeda U. 13. Rattalino J. 27. Rio M. 44. Salas E.
Coaches
Flores D.
Gorosito N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Cordoba Mosquera J. E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Perruzzi I. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Cerato G. ⚽, Gallardo M. (A),
64', Perruzzi I. ↓, Rio M. ↑,
64', Alvarez J. ↓, Salas E. ↑,
64', Reali M. ↓, Gulli F. ↑,
65', Tripichio N. 🟨,
71', Salas E. 🟨,
73', Gallardo M. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
73', Tissera M. ↓, Suarez F. ↑,
80', Lazaro J. ↓, Guerra N. ↑,
80', Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↓, Acevedo J. ↑,
85', Galvan J. ↓, Massaccesi A. ↑,
90+1', Cuello A. 🟨,
90+1', Sosa D. 🟨,
90+3', Herrera E. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Instituto won 1.
Instituto is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, San Lorenzo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Instituto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Instituto has had a series of away games.
In this match, Instituto is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Instituto: Albarracin L.
(Muscle Injury)
Erquiaga I.
(Thigh Injury)
Moyano F.
(Muscle Injury)
Rafaelli L.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in San Lorenzo: Arias N.
(Inactive)
Barrios N.
(Inactive)
Blanco N.
(Inactive)
Cerutti E.
(Knee Injury)
Gulli F.
(Inactive)
Hernandez G.
(Knee Injury)
Herrera D.
(Knee Injury)
Montenegro L.
(Coach's decision)
del Prete G.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Instituto: Luna A.
(Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Instituto won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Instituto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
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Ledesma M. (G) 
Cordoba Mosquera J. E. 
Amor E. 
Fonseca M. 
Guerra N. 
Viera W. 
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