Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Pedro Bidegain (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, FOX Sports, HBO Max, TNT Sports
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 7
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 6
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	ESPN
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Mexico	Disney+
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
United-arab-emirates	Dubai Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	San Lorenzo		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.00	1.81
	4.80	3.10	1.85
	4.35	3.05	1.96	Watch
	5.24	3.13	1.92
	3.96	3.05	2.12	Watch
	5.15	3.05	1.89
	5.36	3.06	1.89	Watch
	4.70	3.05	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↑ (4.33)	3.06 ↑ (3.03)	1.92 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Lorenzo
19.5%

Draw
31%

Boca Juniors
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

30.8%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

30.2%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	30.8%	30.8%

San Lorenzo - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Lorenzo: 12% – 65%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. San Lorenzo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Devecchi J. (G) 32. Herrera E. 2. Arboleda D. 16. Corujo G. 19. Amor E. 6. De Ritis M. 9. Cuello A. 24. Tripichio N. (C) 8. Insaurralde M. 38. Farias F. 29. Auzmendi R.	1. Montero A. (G) 17. Lozano L. 2. Di Lollo L. 42. Herrera F. 3. Blanco L. 25. Ascacibar S. 5. Paredes L. 18. Delgado M. 19. Flores L. 16. Miguel Merentiel 20. Velasco A.
Substitutes
20. Altamirano F. (G) 22. Alvarez J. 30. Arias N. 15. Cardillo M. 35. Cordoba A. 10. Gulli F. 18. Herazo D. 14. Ladstatter A. 13. Rattalino J. 11. Reali M. 3. Rodriguez Pagano T. 44. Salas E.	15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 11. Angel Romero 44. Bacidalupe R. 8. Belmonte T. 27. Braida M. 12. Brey L. (G) 7. Carlos Palacios 4. Figal J. 9. Gimenez M. 24. Gorosito D. 26. Pellegrino M. 22. Villa S.
Coaches
Insua R.	Arruabarrena R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Insaurralde M. 🟥,
34', Herrera F. 🟨,
35', Cuello A. ↓, Rattalino J. ↑,
41', Lozano L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Herrera F. ↓, Pellegrino M. ↑,
47', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
55', Farias F. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
55', Auzmendi R. ↓, Herazo D. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Lozano L. ⚽, Flores L. (A),
67', Herrera E. ↓, Reali M. ↑,
68', Tripichio N. ↓, Gulli F. ↑,
70', Reali M. 🟨,
72', 0 - 2, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Blanco L. (A),
73', Ascacibar S. ↓, Carlos Palacios ↑,
73', Velasco A. ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
80', Gulli F. 🟨,
83', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Villa S. ↑,
83', Flores L. ↓, Belmonte T. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 10th and 6th in the Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Playoffs1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 1.

San Lorenzo has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Boca Juniors shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

San Lorenzo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Boca Juniors is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, San Lorenzo has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:21 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for San Lorenzo against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:7 goals (averaging 1.2:0.7 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Boca Juniors - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 47.62%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Lorenzo
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.09.26	Independiente - San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	San Lorenzo - Talleres de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Instituto Córdoba - San Lorenzo	1:0 ✺
21.08.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	San Lorenzo - Unión Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWLTW
- Boca Juniors
Copa Sudamericana
15.09.26	São Paulo - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.09.26	Boca Juniors - Central Córdoba	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.09.26	Boca Juniors - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.09.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Boca Juniors	2:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
02.09.26	Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.03.26	Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo	1:1
18.08.24	Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo	3:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.03.24	Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo	2:1
08.11.23	San Lorenzo - Boca Juniors	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.04.23	San Lorenzo - Boca Juniors	1:0
09.07.22	San Lorenzo - Boca Juniors	2:1
Torneos De Verano
25.01.22	Boca Juniors - San Lorenzo	1:0

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