The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Racing 21%
Draw 29%
Boca Juniors 50%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.7%
28.9%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
29.2%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing's form might have worsened.
Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boca Juniors's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boca Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
83.3%
16.7%
Racing - Boca Juniors Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Cambeses F. (C) 11. Zaracho M. 38. Martinez M. 6. Rojo M. 43. Escudero G. 19. Rodriguez I. 16. Ortegoza U. 33. Perez L. 20. Lodico G. A. 17. Conechny T. 9. Adrian Martinez
12. Brey L. (G) 17. Lozano L. 2. Di Lollo L. 42. Herrera F. 3. Blanco L. 25. Ascacibar S. 5. Paredes L. (C) 18. Delgado M. 19. Flores L. 16. Miguel Merentiel 20. Velasco A.
Substitutes
35. Campo A. 4. Cannavo E. 23. Colombo N. 24. Fernandez A. 5. Kranevitter M. 10. Miljevic M. 18. Pacha 2. Perez M. 30. Tagliamonte M. (G) 46. Tello A. 22. Torres E. 7. Vergara D.
15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 11. Angel Romero 8. Belmonte T. 27. Braida M. 7. Carlos Palacios 4. Figal J. 30. Garcia J. (G) 9. Gimenez M. 24. Gorosito D. 26. Pellegrino M. 13. Valencia E. 22. Villa S.
Coaches
Vojvoda J.
Arruabarrena R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Conechny T. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Lodico G. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
47', 2 - 0, Adrian Martinez ⚽, Martinez M. (A),
56', Velasco A. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
56', Ascacibar S. ↓, Villa S. ↑,
67', Lodico G. A. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
67', Zaracho M. ↓, Cannavo E. ↑,
68', Zaracho M. 🟨,
70', Flores L. ↓, Carlos Palacios ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Valencia E. ⚽, Blanco L. (A),
78', Ortegoza U. ↓, Kranevitter M. ↑,
78', Conechny T. ↓, Campo A. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Valencia E. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
90+1', Herrera F. ↓, Pellegrino M. ↑,
90+3', Perez L. ↓, Miljevic M. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 3, Valencia E. ⚽, Carlos Palacios (A),
90+7', Valencia E. 🟨,
Preview
Neutral location.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Racing (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Boca Juniors shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Racing could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Boca Juniors is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Racing has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:17 (averaging 1:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Racing against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:4 goals (averaging 1.1:0.5 per game).
Outrights of Copa Argentina for now
Boca Juniors: 44.71%
Last Results with these Odds
Boca Juniors - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 44.38%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Venezuela
World
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Cambeses F. (C) 
Ortegoza U. 
Lozano L. 
Campo A. 
Miljevic M. 
Vergara D. 
Angel Romero 
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