Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 5

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Presidente Peron (Cordoba)

Referee: Trucco S. (Arg)


	Instituto Córdoba		Newells Old Boys

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	3.25	Watch
	2.4	2.75	3.4
	2.38	2.95	3.45
	2.48	2.84	3.61
	2.41	2.89	3.38	Watch
	2.4	2.75	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.65)	2.86 ↓ (2.95)	3.42 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Instituto Córdoba
39.2%

Draw
33%

Newells Old Boys
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

31.6%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

31.1%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newells Old Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newells Old Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Instituto Córdoba - Newells Old Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 16 and 10).

Instituto has the most likely position - 27 (7.08%), has project points - 30, has currently - 5, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Newell's Old Boys has the most likely position - 9 (5.47%), has project points - 39, has currently - 7, has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 34, very small importance 4, small match rating 19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Newell's Old Boys could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Instituto will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Newell's Old Boys: Gonzalez F. (Injury) Luciano M. (Injury) Mendez A. (Injury) Rossi G. (Injury) Vangioni L. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.02.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
12.02.23	Instituto Córdoba - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
05.02.23	Unión Santa Fe - Instituto Córdoba	0:2 ✺
29.01.23	Instituto Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.01.23	Instituto Córdoba - Colón	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTWTL
- Newells Old Boys
Copa Argentina
22.02.23	Newells Old Boys - Atlético Claypole	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.02.23	Newells Old Boys - Banfield	2:0 ✺
11.02.23	Defensa y Justicia - Newells Old Boys	1:0 ✺
03.02.23	Newells Old Boys - Vélez Sársfield	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Platense - Newells Old Boys	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLWT

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