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Current Win Probability
Platense 39.8%
Draw 32.8%
Newells Old Boys 27.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.6%
31.9%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
33.5%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Platense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Platense - Newells Old Boys Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Platense will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Cozzani J. (G) 4. Lagos A. 13. Vazquez I. (C) 31. Victor Cuesta 38. Ingenthron C. 26. Ferreira P. 24. Barrios M. 7. Mainero G. 18. Merlini B. 43. Retamar K. 79. Sepulveda B.
30. Reinatti J. (G) 6. Ortega M. 17. Giannetti L. 16. Carrizo L. 28. Russo J. 26. Herrera R. 5. Regiardo L. 7. Mazzantti W. 20. Guch F. 32. Solari S. 9. Coccaro M.
Substitutes
15. Amarfil M. 33. Gauto J. 5. Gomez I. 99. Lencina G. 11. Lopez N. 21. Lotti A. 34. Mendia M. 25. Saborido J. 3. Silva T. 22. Sumavil N. (G) 16. Togni G. 10. Zapiola F.
21. Arias G. (G) 25. Cabrera B. 2. Glavinovich I. 19. Gomez J. 27. Gomez L. 3. Luciano M. 33. Nunez W. 99. Ramirez I. 39. Rios T. 22. Salomon O. 36. Scarpeccio F. 15. Sonora A.
Coaches
Palermo M.
Kudelka F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Solari S. ⚽,
33', Herrera R. 🟨,
44', Vazquez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Ferreira P. ↓, Amarfil M. ↑,
66', Carrizo L. ↓, Cabrera B. ↑,
66', Victor Cuesta 🟨,
67', Mainero G. 🟨,
68', Mainero G. ↓, Gauto J. ↑,
68', Merlini B. ↓, Zapiola F. ↑,
76', Guch F. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
76', Solari S. ↓, Nunez W. ↑,
80', Barrios M. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
80', Retamar K. ↓, Lencina G. ↑,
82', Ingenthron C. 🟥,
87', Amarfil M. 🟨,
88', Gomez J. 🟨,
90+1', Mazzantti W. ↓, Salomon O. ↑,
90+1', Coccaro M. ↓, Scarpeccio F. ↑,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 13th and 8th in the Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Playoffs1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense won 0.
Platense is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Newells Old Boys shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Newells Old Boys could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Platense is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Platense: Bobadilla H.
(Inactive)
Gimenez L.
(Inactive)
Goni G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Nasif T.
(Knee Injury)
Quiros S.
(Inactive).
Confirmed absences for Newells Old Boys: Acuna V.
(Inactive)
Garcia M. E.
(Inactive)
Goitea N.
(Hernia)
Montero A.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Platense has recorded 0 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:10 (averaging 0.6:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Platense against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Platense - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.6%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Newells Old Boys - the odds 3.52 are the expected chance of winning is 26.51%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.