The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newells Old Boys 29.2%
Draw 32.7%
Unión Santa Fe 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
31.7%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.2%
30.6%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newells Old Boys's form might have worsened.
Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newells Old Boys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
40%
40%
Newells Old Boys - Unión Santa Fe Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Unión will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Espinola J. (G) 4. Montero A. 97. Salcedo S. 15. Victor Cuesta (C) 3. Sosa L. 17. Acuna V. 14. Fernandez M. 13. Guch F. 21. Herrera L. 47. Russo J. 32. Gonzalez C.
1. Tagliamonte M. (G) 35. Vargas L. 2. Rodriguez M. 13. Fascendini V. 11. Del Blanco M. 20. Palacios J. 30. Pitton M. (C) 16. Martinez M. 17. Palavecino N. 25. Tarragona C. 21. Colazo A.
Substitutes
30. Barlasina W. (G) 45. Calderara B. 38. Chiaverano G. 9. Garcia J. 37. Lollo L. 20. Maroni G. 51. Mereles A. 43. Montenegro L. S. 6. Mosquera J. 29. Noguera F. 7. Orozco F. 52. Scarpeccio F.
31. Aguirre M. 4. Alvarez E. 3. Corvalan C. 29. Diaz D. 15. Durso T. (G) 19. Estigarribia M. 7. Fragapane F. 18. Gamba L. 46. Grella S. 26. Luduena J. 32. Paz N. 24. Profini R.
Coaches
Bernardi L.
Madelon L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Fascendini V. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Colazo A. ⚽, Del Blanco M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fascendini V. ↓, Luduena J. ↑,
50', Victor Cuesta 🟨,
59', Tarragona C. ↓, Estigarribia M. ↑,
62', Luduena J. 🟨,
65', Palacios J. ↓, Alvarez E. ↑,
65', Palavecino N. ↓, Fragapane F. ↑,
67', Russo J. ↓, Maroni G. ↑,
70', Vargas L. ↓, Paz N. ↑,
77', Montero A. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
77', Sosa L. ↓, Calderara B. ↑,
86', Acuna V. ↓, Scarpeccio F. ↑,
86', Guch F. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
88', Estigarribia M. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 1.
Newells Old Boys is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Unión has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Banega E.
(Red Card)
Chiaverano G.
(Inactive)
Gigena T.
(Inactive)
Regiardo L.
(Yellow Cards)
Sotelo D.
(Inactive)
Tabares A.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Unión: Pitton B.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:15. (average 1.1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Newells Old Boys won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.2:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Unión Santa Fe - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.38%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.