The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newells Old Boys 48%
Draw 28.3%
Unión Santa Fe 23.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.9%
30.3%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
29.8%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newells Old Boys's performance.
Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Newells Old Boys - Unión Santa Fe Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Newells Old Boys (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals) and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys won 2.
In recent outings, Newells Old Boys has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Unión is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Unión may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Newells Old Boys is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Newells Old Boys has recorded 7 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:17 (averaging 1.3:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Newells Old Boys against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with 14:6 goals (averaging 1.3:0.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Newells Old Boys - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.86%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.
Unión Santa Fe - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 26.83%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
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