Match Info

Date: 26 August 2022, Friday

Location: Estadio Presidente Peron (Cordoba)

Referee: Carreras J. (Arg)


	Instituto Córdoba		Villa Dálmine

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	6.5
	1.6	3.4	6
	1.64	3.4	5.2
	1.6	3.35	5.6
	1.63	3.55	6.52
	1.57	3.3	6
	1.61	3.44	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.83)	3.43 ↑ (3.1)	5.9 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Instituto Córdoba
57.4%

Draw
26.9%

Villa Dálmine
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

29.4%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

29.4%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Instituto Córdoba's performance.

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa Dálmine might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Instituto Córdoba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa Dálmine could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Instituto Córdoba - Villa Dálmine Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Instituto will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Villa Dálmine will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Instituto: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Instituto won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Instituto is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Instituto won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Instituto won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Instituto Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.08.22	Belgrano - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
13.08.22	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
08.08.22	Güemes - Instituto Córdoba	1:1 ✺
01.08.22	Instituto Córdoba - All Boys	2:0 ✺
27.07.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTTWL
- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.08.22	Villa Dálmine - Sacachispas	0:0 ✺
14.08.22	Mitre - Villa Dálmine	3:2 ✺
06.08.22	Villa Dálmine - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
31.07.22	Independiente Rivadavia - Villa Dálmine	0:0 ✺
27.07.22	Villa Dálmine - Quilmes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.11.21	Instituto Córdoba - Villa Dálmine	1:1
12.07.21	Villa Dálmine - Instituto Córdoba	1:2
09.02.20	Instituto Córdoba - Villa Dálmine	1:2
17.08.19	Villa Dálmine - Instituto Córdoba	2:0
25.08.18	Villa Dálmine - Instituto Córdoba	3:0
02.02.18	Instituto Córdoba - Villa Dálmine	1:1
23.04.17	Villa Dálmine - Instituto Córdoba	1:3

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