Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 7

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Coliseo de Mitre y Puccini (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)


	Villa Dálmine		Ferro Carril Oeste

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.25	2.55
	2.7	2.9	2.6
	2.7	2.75	2.7
	3	2.98	2.66
	2.75	2.88	2.55
	2.88	3.1	2.59	Watch
	2.85	3.05	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.38)	2.99 ↓ (3.07)	2.59 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Dálmine
32.9%

Draw
31.2%

Ferro Carril Oeste
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

30%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

29.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Dálmine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Villa Dálmine's form might have worsened.

Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Dálmine than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villa Dálmine, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferro Carril Oeste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	77.8%	11.1%

Villa Dálmine - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Villa Dálmine will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Ferro Carril will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Villa Dálmine won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Villa Dálmine could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Villa Dálmine won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Dálmine won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa Dálmine
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.03.23	Deportivo Riestra - Villa Dálmine	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Villa Dálmine - Racing de Córdoba	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Villa Dálmine	2:1 ✺
24.02.23	Villa Dálmine - Tristán Suárez	3:1 ✺
18.02.23	Chacarita Juniors - Villa Dálmine	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWL
- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
17.03.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
10.03.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:2 ✺
04.03.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:2 ✺
25.02.23	Brown de Adrogué - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
17.02.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Quilmes	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.08.22	Villa Dálmine - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0
19.10.21	Villa Dálmine - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1
23.06.21	Ferro Carril Oeste - Villa Dálmine	0:0
12.11.18	Ferro Carril Oeste - Villa Dálmine	2:0
17.03.18	Ferro Carril Oeste - Villa Dálmine	2:1
25.06.17	Villa Dálmine - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:0
28.11.16	Ferro Carril Oeste - Villa Dálmine	1:1

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