Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 18 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Referee: Delgado L. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fubo Latino 2


	Inter Bogotá		Deportivo Pereira

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	8.5	Watch
	1.65	3.3	5.25
	1.39	4.25	8.3	Watch
	1.39	4.55	8.94
	1.36	4.65	8.76	Watch
	1.36	4	8
	1.41	4.2	8.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.68)	4.16 ↑ (3.58)	7.99 ↑ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Bogotá
65.8%

Draw
22.5%

Deportivo Pereira
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

25.8%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

25.2%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter Bogotá's performance.

Deportivo Pereira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Pereira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Bogotá than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inter Bogotá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Pereira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Inter Bogotá - Deportivo Pereira Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Inter Bogotá will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Pereira will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Bogotá: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Farinez W. (G) 20. Castro J. 2. Vivas C. 26. Irazoque A. 16. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 5. Vasquez L. (C) 15. Quinones D. 10. Parra Atehortua K. 23. Caballero J. 18. Moncada D. 7. Sanguinetti F.	1. Mosquera J. (G) 2. Urrea S. 29. Renteria R. 6. Ortiz D. 25. Delgado F. 5. Bermudez Correa J. A. 21. Pacheco W. (C) 19. Aguirre M. 10. Acosta S. 88. Quinones Y. 37. Moreno L.
Substitutes
11. Bone F. 12. Carrasco J. (G) 19. Garcia Y. 24. Manjarres R. 8. Mayo S. 99. Poveda I. 4. Rodas M. 22. Suarez K. 9. Valencia J.	12. Betancourth J. (G) 31. Calderon A. 11. Largacha J. 20. Monroy J. 13. Montoya J. 16. Moreno Gomez E. A. 8. Mosquera F. 24. Palacios M. 3. Rengifo N.
Coaches
Valino R.	Reyes A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Acosta S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gomez Mosquera Y. A. ↓, Suarez K. ↑,
46', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Bone F. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Sanguinetti F. ⚽, Moncada D. (A),
61', 1 - 2, Renteria R. ⚽, Urrea S. (A),
64', Moreno L. ↓, Rengifo N. ↑,
64', Mosquera J. 🟨,
66', Caballero J. ↓, Poveda I. ↑,
70', Acosta S. ↓, Largacha J. ↑,
73', Quinones D. ↓, Mayo S. ↑,
73', Moncada D. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
79', Aguirre M. ↓, Moreno Gomez E. A. ↑,
79', Pacheco W. ↓, Mosquera F. ↑,
79', Quinones Y. ↓, Monroy J. ↑,
89', Ortiz D. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Bone F. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In recent matches, Inter Bogotá has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pereira is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Pereira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Inter Bogotá is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
19	Pereira	12	1	6	5	7:17	-10	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Bogotá
Colombian Primera A
14.03.26	Inter Bogotá - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0 ✺
05.03.26	Llaneros SA - Inter Bogotá	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Rionegro Águilas - Inter Bogotá	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Inter Bogotá - Millonarios	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Deportivo Pasto - Inter Bogotá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TTTWT
- Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Primera A
15.03.26	Deportivo Pereira - Rionegro Águilas	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Pereira	3:0 ✺
26.02.26	Millonarios - Deportivo Pereira	5:1 ✺
20.02.26	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo Pasto	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pereira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LLLTT

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