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Current Win Probability
Inter FA 30.6%
Draw 29.5%
Águila 39.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.3%
28.7%
42%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.6%
28%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter FA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Águila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter FA than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águila than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Inter FA - Águila Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 0 - 1, Andrada F. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
Inter FA has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Águila is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Inter FA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Águila might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Inter FA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Inter FA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Aguila
14
5
5
4
22:18
4
20
Last Results with these Odds
Águila - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.02%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.