Match Info

NPFL - Round 9

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: NPFL 🌤️ ...


	Inter Lagos		Nasarawa United

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.05	3.70
	2.08	2.75	4.02	Watch
	1.95	2.90	3.45
	1.91	3.10	3.81
	2.01	3.05	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.93)	2.97 ↓ (3.2)	3.73 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Lagos
45.6%

Draw
30.3%

Nasarawa United
24.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.4%

28.6%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

28.8%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Lagos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

The chances for Nasarawa United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Lagos than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasarawa United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Ogbodo K. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Ugochukwu L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 12th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Nasarawa United may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Inter Lagos is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Nasarawa	9	4	2	3	10:8	2	14
20	Inter Lagos	9	1	2	6	5:18	-13	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Lagos
Nigerian Premier League
04.10.26	Inter Lagos - Katsina United	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Plateau United - Inter Lagos	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Inter Lagos - Kano Pillars	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Enyimba - Inter Lagos	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Inter Lagos - Sporting Lagos	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLTWL
- Nasarawa United
Nigerian Premier League
11.10.26	Nasarawa United - Doma United	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Shooting Stars - Nasarawa United	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Nasarawa United - Niger Tornadoes	1:0 ✺
23.09.26	Kwara United - Nasarawa United	2:1
20.09.26	Nasarawa United - Rivers United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTWLT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Lagos
Nigerian Premier League
25.10.26	Kun Khalifa - Inter Lagos	✺
- Nasarawa United
Nigerian Premier League
25.10.26	Nasarawa United - Enyimba	✺

Inter Lagos - Nasarawa United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide