Match Info

NSW League One - Round 27

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Majors Bay Reserve (Sydney)


	Inter Lions		Mounties Wanderers

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.5
	1.82	3.75	3.4
	1.82	3.82	3.43
	1.85	4.30	3.19	Watch
	1.8	3.82	3.56
	1.8	3.78	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 (1.82)	3.85 ↓ (4)	3.44 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Lions
50%

Draw
23.6%

Mounties Wanderers
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

22.7%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

19.5%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Mounties Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Lions than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inter Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mounties Wanderers than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mounties Wanderers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Inter Lions - Mounties Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, McGing J. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 1 - 2, Cakovski J. ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone NSW League One (Relegation)).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Inter Lions may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Inter Lions is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Inter Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Lions
Australian NSW League One
01.08.25	Blacktown Spartans - Inter Lions	1:3 ✺
26.07.25	Inter Lions - SD Raiders	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Hakoah Sydney City East - Inter Lions	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Inter Lions - University of New South Wales	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Bankstown City Lions - Inter Lions	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTLL
- Mounties Wanderers
Australian NSW League One
02.08.25	SD Raiders - Mounties Wanderers	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Mounties Wanderers - Bankstown City Lions	3:1 ✺
19.07.25	Mounties Wanderers - Newcastle Jets U23	1:4 ✺
12.07.25	Macarthur Rams - Mounties Wanderers	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Mounties Wanderers - Dulwich Hill	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
26.04.25	Mounties Wanderers - Inter Lions	0:2

Inter Lions - Mounties Wanderers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide