Match Info

NSW League One - Round 25

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday


	Mounties Wanderers		Bankstown City Lions

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	1.95
	3.15	3.55	1.95
	3.12	3.54	2.02
	3.18	3.72	1.96	Watch
	3.25	3.3	2
	3.48	3.48	1.91
	3.25	3.75	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.32)	3.52 ↓ (3.8)	1.95 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mounties Wanderers
28%

Draw
25.7%

Bankstown City Lions
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

23.8%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

24%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mounties Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Bankstown City Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mounties Wanderers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bankstown City Lions than the current prediction. (+2%)

Mounties Wanderers - Bankstown City Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
63', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone NSW League One (Relegation) and 10).

Mounties Wanderers has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bankstown City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mounties Wanderers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bankstown City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mounties Wanderers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Bankstown City Lions - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 48.92%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mounties Wanderers
Australian NSW League One
19.07.25	Mounties Wanderers - Newcastle Jets U23	1:4 ✺
12.07.25	Macarthur Rams - Mounties Wanderers	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Mounties Wanderers - Dulwich Hill	0:2 ✺
28.06.25	Hakoah Sydney City East - Mounties Wanderers	3:2 ✺
21.06.25	Mounties Wanderers - Rydalmere Lions	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLT
- Bankstown City Lions
Australian NSW League One
22.07.25	Bonnyrigg White Eagles - Bankstown City Lions	0:1 ✺
19.07.25	Bankstown City Lions - Canterbury Bankstown	1:1 ✺
11.07.25	Blacktown Spartans - Bankstown City Lions	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Bankstown City Lions - Inter Lions	3:0 ✺
21.06.25	Bankstown City Lions - Northern Tigers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
12.04.25	Bankstown City Lions - Mounties Wanderers	2:1

Mounties Wanderers - Bankstown City Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide