Match Info

NSW League One - Round 24

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday


	Mounties Wanderers		Newcastle Jets U23

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.9	1.68
	3.7	4.05	1.7
	3.75	3.97	1.71
	3.70	4.28	1.70	Watch
	3.75	3.9	1.7
	3.63	4.1	1.73
	4.25	4.2	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↓ (4.25)	4.06 ↓ (4.5)	1.68 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mounties Wanderers
24%

Draw
22.3%

Newcastle Jets U23
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

20.2%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

19.6%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mounties Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Newcastle Jets U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mounties Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets U23 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle Jets U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mounties Wanderers - Newcastle Jets U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
65', 0 - 2, ⚽,
69', 0 - 3, ⚽,
77', 0 - 4, ⚽,
79', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone NSW League One (Relegation) and 5).

Recent form of Mounties Wanderers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Newcastle Jets U23 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Newcastle Jets U23 is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mounties Wanderers won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mounties Wanderers
Australian NSW League One
12.07.25	Macarthur Rams - Mounties Wanderers	2:1 ✺
05.07.25	Mounties Wanderers - Dulwich Hill	0:2 ✺
28.06.25	Hakoah Sydney City East - Mounties Wanderers	3:2 ✺
21.06.25	Mounties Wanderers - Rydalmere Lions	2:2 ✺
14.06.25	University of New South Wales - Mounties Wanderers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLTT
- Newcastle Jets U23
Australian NSW League One
12.07.25	Newcastle Jets U23 - Rydalmere Lions	4:4 ✺
05.07.25	Newcastle Jets U23 - Bulls Academy	4:1 ✺
28.06.25	Northern Tigers - Newcastle Jets U23	2:3 ✺
21.06.25	Newcastle Jets U23 - Dulwich Hill	3:0 ✺
14.06.25	Hills United - Newcastle Jets U23	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
05.04.25	Newcastle Jets U23 - Mounties Wanderers	2:2

Mounties Wanderers - Newcastle Jets U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide