Match Info

NSW League One - Round 23

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday


	Macarthur Rams		Mounties Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.75
	2.12	3.5	2.82
	2.06	3.68	2.87
				Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.8
	2.09	3.58	2.93
	2.2	3.52	2.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.87)	3.53 ↓ (3.64)	2.83 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Macarthur Rams
42.5%

Draw
25.5%

Mounties Wanderers
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

24.9%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

24.4%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macarthur Rams has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Macarthur Rams's form might have worsened.

Mounties Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mounties Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macarthur Rams than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Macarthur Rams, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mounties Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mounties Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Macarthur Rams - Mounties Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 2 - 0, ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone NSW League One (Relegation)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Macarthur Rams won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macarthur Rams
Australian NSW League One
05.07.25	Macarthur Rams - Northern Tigers	1:4 ✺
28.06.25	Canterbury Bankstown - Macarthur Rams	0:1 ✺
21.06.25	Macarthur Rams - Bonnyrigg White Eagles	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Bulls Academy - Macarthur Rams	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	SD Raiders - Macarthur Rams	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWLT
- Mounties Wanderers
Australian NSW League One
05.07.25	Mounties Wanderers - Dulwich Hill	0:2 ✺
28.06.25	Hakoah Sydney City East - Mounties Wanderers	3:2 ✺
21.06.25	Mounties Wanderers - Rydalmere Lions	2:2 ✺
14.06.25	University of New South Wales - Mounties Wanderers	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Mounties Wanderers - Bonnyrigg White Eagles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
29.03.25	Mounties Wanderers - Macarthur Rams	0:1

Macarthur Rams - Mounties Wanderers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide