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Current Win Probability
Inter Miami 38.4%
Draw 26.9%
Minnesota United 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.5%
26.7%
24.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.1%
26.9%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Miami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Miami's form might have worsened.
Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minnesota United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Miami, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minnesota United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
51.6%
32.3%
16.1%
Inter Miami - Minnesota United Predictions
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 16 - 51.6%). Minnesota will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 32.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Miami: 34% – 69.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 and 11).
Inter Miami has the most likely position - 14 (18.64%), has project points - 38, has currently - 18, has a small chance of playoffs (14%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (<1%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Minnesota has the most likely position - 9 (10.65%), has project points - 46, has currently - 18, has a chance of playoffs (44%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (1%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
This event has quality34, small importance18, small match rating26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Inter Miami could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
There will not play in Inter Miami: Fray I.
(Knee Injury)
Shea B.
(Injury)
There will not play in Minnesota: Danladi A.
(Injury)
Dotson H.
(Injury)
Hansen N.
(Injury)
Metanire R.
(Injury)
Montgomery C.
(Injury)
Tani Oluwaseyi
(Injury)
Weah P.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Inter Miami: Marsman N.
(Injury)