Match Info

MLS

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday ⏱️ In 12h 51m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Allianz Field (Saint Paul, MN) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Boiko S. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	20:30	MLS Season Pass
International	00:30	Apple TV International


	Minnesota United		Sporting Kansas City

	1	X	2
	1.42	5.00	6.00	Watch
	1.46	5.00	5.50
	1.40	5.10	6.40
	1.45	5.36	6.27
	1.43	4.98	6.3	Watch
	1.40	5.15	6.10
	1.44	5.42	6.52	Watch
	1.45	5.00	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)	5.13 ↑ (5.1)	6.09 ↓ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota United
66%

Draw
18.4%

Sporting Kansas City
15.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.3%

18.3%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

17.3%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sporting Kansas City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Minnesota United - Sporting Kansas City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kansas City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 13th and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3.

Minnesota has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Kansas City has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this match, Minnesota enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Confirmed absences for Minnesota: Smir A. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Kansas City: Blorian O. (Chest Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Minnesota: Stroud P. (Muscle Injury) Trapp W. (Concussion).

Doubtful / questionable for Kansas City: Diego Borges (Groin Injury) Johnsen L. (Hamstring Injury) Mosquera M. (Hamstring Injury) Reid S. (Hamstring Injury) Reynolds J. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Minnesota has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:28 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Minnesota against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:7 goals (averaging 1.5:0.9 per game).

Outrights of MLS for now

Sporting Kansas City: 0.69% Minnesota United: 0.58%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota United
MLS
24.10.26	Houston Dynamo - Minnesota United	0:0 ✺
17.10.26	Minnesota United - St. Louis City	3:2 ✺
14.10.26	Colorado Rapids - Minnesota United	2:2 ✺
10.10.26	Minnesota United - Houston Dynamo	2:2 ✺
26.09.26	Seattle Sounders - Minnesota United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWTTL
- Sporting Kansas City
MLS
24.10.26	Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC	1:2 ✺
17.10.26	Sporting Kansas City - Real Salt Lake	1:3 ✺
14.10.26	Nashville SC - Sporting Kansas City	4:0 ✺
10.10.26	Sporting Kansas City - Portland Timbers	3:3 ✺
01.10.26	Seattle Sounders - Sporting Kansas City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
22.07.26	Sporting Kansas City - Minnesota United	2:1
Club Friendly
07.02.26	Sporting Kansas City - Minnesota United	0:3
MLS
04.10.25	Minnesota United - Sporting Kansas City	3:0
15.03.25	Sporting Kansas City - Minnesota United	3:3
21.09.24	Sporting Kansas City - Minnesota United	0:2
01.06.24	Minnesota United - Sporting Kansas City	3:1
27.04.24	Minnesota United - Sporting Kansas City	2:1

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