The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Minnesota United 27.1%
Draw 25.3%
New York City 47.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.1%
27.4%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
27.7%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minnesota United's form might have worsened.
New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New York City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minnesota United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
38.9%
5.6%
55.6%
Minnesota United - New York City Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). NY City will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 32.6% – 78.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Minnesota has the most likely position - 8 (9.62%), has project points - 47, has currently - 18, has a good chance of playoffs (51%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (3%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
NY City has the most likely position - 1 (47.72%), has project points - 62, has currently - 23, has a very good chance of playoffs (97%), has a chance of first-round bye (48%), has a chance of supporters shield (28%), has a chance of win league (22%).
This event has quality47, small importance20, match rating33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Minnesota is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
NY City in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Recently NY City have a series of home games.
NY City will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Minnesota: Dotson H.
(Injury)
McMaster J.
(Injury)
Weah P.
(Injury)
There will not play in NY City: Tinnerholm A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Minnesota: Metanire R.
(Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Minnesota won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Minnesota won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.
Germany
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