What is the expert prediction for Inter Nouakchott vs Douanes Nouakchott?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Inter Nouakchott vs Douanes Nouakchott. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Inter Nouakchott vs Douanes Nouakchott Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, February 28, 2026)

Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 18

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Inter Nouakchott		Douanes Nouakchott

	1	X	2
	4.07	3.08	1.87
	4.16	3.21	1.85
	4.4	3.1	1.75
	4.25	3.4	1.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↓ (4.34)	3.2 ↓ (3.35)	1.81 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Nouakchott
21.5%

Draw
28.4%

Douanes Nouakchott
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

27.1%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

26.9%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Nouakchott has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Douanes Nouakchott has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Nouakchott than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douanes Nouakchott than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Nouakchott won 1.

Recent performances by Inter Nouakchott have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Douanes Nouakchott is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Douanes Nouakchott may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Douanes Nouakchott is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Inter Nouakchott won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.4:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter Nouakchott won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Douane	25	12	9	4	40:26	14	45
14	Inter Nouakchott	25	3	6	16	24:49	-25	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Nouakchott
Mauritania Ligue 1
09.02.26	Inter Nouakchott - Nzeidane	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Gendrim - Inter Nouakchott	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Inter Nouakchott - Kaédi	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Inter Nouakchott - Nouadhibou	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Chemal - Inter Nouakchott	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WTTLL
- AS Douanes Nouakchott
Mauritania Ligue 1
14.02.26	Douanes Nouakchott - Nouakchott Kings	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Police - Douanes Nouakchott	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Douanes Nouakchott - Ksar	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	Douanes Nouakchott - Nzeidane	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Gendrim - Douanes Nouakchott	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mauritania Ligue 1
08.11.25	Douanes Nouakchott - Inter Nouakchott	6:1
05.04.25	Inter Nouakchott - Douanes Nouakchott	2:2
30.11.24	Douanes Nouakchott - Inter Nouakchott	0:2
04.05.24	Douanes Nouakchott - Inter Nouakchott	3:3
11.12.23	Douanes Nouakchott - Inter Nouakchott	4:1
27.04.23	Douanes Nouakchott - Inter Nouakchott	1:1
28.11.22	Inter Nouakchott - Douanes Nouakchott	0:1