The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Police 30.4%
Draw 33.2%
Douanes Nouakchott 36.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.1%
29%
42.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.6%
28.5%
43.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
Douanes Nouakchott has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Douanes Nouakchott might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douanes Nouakchott than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Douanes Nouakchott could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Police - Douanes Nouakchott Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Police may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Police has had a series of home games.
Douanes Nouakchott is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Police won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Police won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.