The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Inter Santa Maria 51.2%
Draw 30.3%
GE Bagé 18.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.5%
28.4%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.4%
27.4%
21.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Santa Maria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
GE Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Santa Maria than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for GE Bagé than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Inter Santa Maria - GE Bagé Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Wilson J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 🟥,
81', 2 - 0, Mateus Santana ⚽,
Preview
1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Inter SM is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
GE Bagé has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Inter SM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, GE Bagé has had a series of home games.
In this match, Inter SM is the team to beat.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Inter SM won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Inter SM won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
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