Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Ernesto Breda (Sesto San Giovanni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, RAI 2, RaiPlay, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Inter U23		Foggia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.10	2.90
	2.22	3.15	3
	2.36	3.25	3.05
	2.28	3.17	3	Watch
	2.25	3.05	2.95
	2.23	3.04	3.02	Watch
	2.21	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.27)	3.14 ↓ (3.24)	2.99 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter U23
40.5%

Draw
29%

Foggia
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

28.4%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

27.1%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Inter U23 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Foggia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter U23 than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Inter U23 - Foggia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melgrati R. (G) 80. Garonetti G. 75. Bovio L. 86. Jakirovic L. 2. Avitabile T. 8. Fiordilino L. (C) 7. Kaczmarski I. 78. Milani A. 29. Mancuso M. 99. Fumagalli T. 45. Lavelli M.	22. Saro G. (G) 2. Todisco G. (C) 21. Berra F. 3. Seck M. 32. Smeraldi A. 16. Haoudi H. 4. Gallo A. 14. Zuccon F. 11. Petito F. 18. Luciani P. 29. Merdji Y.
Substitutes
10. Agbonifo R. 27. Aidoo M. 14. Bovo L. 4. Cerpelletti F. 23. Donato A. 3. Marello M. 20. Matarrese T. 30. Mosconi M. 95. Raimondi P. (G) 24. Re Cecconi G. 22. Taho A. (G) 16. Venturini M. 11. Zuberek J.	33. Azarovs T. 27. Bigonzoni M. 8. Coulibaly M. 6. Di Pasquale D. 12. Marfella D. (G) 37. Ngana V. 17. Panico G. 51. Parisy C. 91. Ravasio M. 19. Rinaldo M. 80. Testa A. (G) 28. Toure I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Merdji Y. ⚽,
5', 1 - 1, Milani A. ⚽, Fumagalli T. (A),
13', Smeraldi A. ↓, Rinaldo M. ↑,
20', Gallo A. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 1, Fumagalli T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Gallo A. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
53', Zuccon F. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
57', Fumagalli T. ↓, Bovo L. ↑,
58', Mancuso M. ↓, Mosconi M. ↑,
60', Lavelli M. ↓, Zuberek J. ↑,
63', 3 - 1, Avitabile T. ⚽,
70', Merdji Y. ↓, Toure I. ↑,
70', Petito F. ↓, Panico G. ↑,
70', Jakirovic L. ↓, Donato A. ↑,
70', Garonetti G. ↓, Re Cecconi G. ↑,
76', Panico G. 🟨,
90+1', Kaczmarski I. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Ravasio M. ⚽, Toure I. (A),

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 13th and 17th in the Serie C ~ Play Out).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Inter U23 holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Foggia	8	3	2	3	8:7	1	11
13	Inter U23	7	3	1	3	12:13	-1	10

Last Results with these Odds

Foggia - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.08%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan U23
Italian Serie C Group C
15.09.26	Crotone - Inter U23	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Inter U23 - Casertana	2:3 ✺
07.09.26	Picerno - Inter U23	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Inter U23 - Altamura	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Catania - Inter U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLLTW
- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
15.09.26	Foggia - Savoia	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Monopoli - Foggia	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Foggia - Audace Cerignola	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Foggia - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
24.08.26	Crotone - Foggia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLTW

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