Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 21

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Camp Municipal Antonio Solana (Alicante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Betis TV, FEF TV


	Intercity		Betis B

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.5
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.05	2.85	3.2
	2.12	3.25	3.52
	2.04	3.22	3.47	Watch
	2.14	3.13	3.54
	2.05	2.85	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (3.07)	3.06 ↑ (2.78)	3.38 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Intercity
43.7%

Draw
29.5%

Betis B
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

31.8%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

30.5%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Intercity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Intercity's performance.

Betis B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Betis B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Intercity that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Betis B than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Betis B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Intercity - Betis B Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Intercity will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Intercity: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Casado S. (G) 2. San Emeterio B. 4. Hernandez A. 16. Gonzalez Nacho 17. Caballo D. 23. Gonzalez N. 5. Llonch P. (C) 19. Mestanza A. 18. Burlamaqui A. 10. Martinez B. 9. Locadia J.	1. Guilherme Fernandes (C) 34. Encuentra J. 25. Kohon R. 21. Zidane E. 5. Pleguezuelo X. 33. Garcia P. 6. Flores M. 16. Guirao C. 8. Perez Guerrero D. 11. Faye S. 19. Ilahude D.
Substitutes
20. Codina M. 11. Fofo 1. Freixanet P. (G) 6. Gracia J. 29. Martinez M. 22. Montero Sergio 8. Nsue E. 26. Ron K. 21. Sito 7. Zequi 25. Zhernovenko I. (G)	38. Arenas M. 14. Ballero S. 18. Barea Fernandez I. 22. Diao U. 39. Esteban P. 30. Garcia G. (G) 24. Joao Fersura 29. Oreiro J. 10. Reina C. 23. Sanca M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Guirao C. 🟨,
33', Burlamaqui A. 🟨,
42', Locadia J. 🟨,
42', Kohon R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Burlamaqui A. ↓, Gracia J. ↑,
53', Pleguezuelo X. ↓, Arenas M. ↑,
53', Gonzalez Nacho 🟨,
58', 🟨,
60', Locadia J. ↓, Zequi ↑,
60', Mestanza A. ↓, Nsue E. ↑,
61', 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Ilahude D. ⚽,
71', Guirao C. ↓, Barea Fernandez I. ↑,
71', Garcia P. ↓, Diao U. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Nsue E. ⚽,
77', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
82', Gonzalez N. ↓, Montero Sergio ↑,
82', Perez Guerrero D. ↓, Reina C. ↑,
82', Ilahude D. ↓, Sanca M. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Intercity is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Betis B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Intercity could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Intercity will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Intercity won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Last Results with these Odds

Betis B - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.36%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
19.01.25	Algeciras - Intercity	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Intercity - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Real Murcia - Intercity	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Intercity - Villarreal B	2:2 ✺
07.12.24	Recreativo Huelva - Intercity	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTTL
- Betis B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.01.25	Betis B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:3 ✺
12.01.25	Hércules - Betis B	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.25	Xerez Deportivo - Betis B	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.12.24	Betis B - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Marbella - Betis B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.08.24	Betis B - Intercity	0:3

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