Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 20

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday

Location: Ciudad Deportiva Luis de Sol (Sevilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Betis TV, FEF TV


	Betis B		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.11	2.95	2.95
	2.2	3.23	3.09	Watch
	2.2	3.48	3.06
	2.11	2.95	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.83)	3.19 ↓ (3.69)	3.03 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Betis B
42%

Draw
28.3%

Real Madrid Castilla
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

24.9%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

25.1%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Betis B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Betis B's form might have worsened.

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Betis B than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Betis B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Madrid Castilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Betis B - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 7. Ortiz A. 25. Kohon R. 4. Mendy N. 5. Pleguezuelo X. 10. Reina C. 18. Barea Fernandez I. 16. Guirao C. 8. Perez Guerrero D. 11. Faye S. 23. Sanca M.	1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 22. Jimenez D. 15. Ribes K. 14. Ramon J. 29. Rivas M. 23. Yusi 27. Fortuny P. 8. Angel M. 6. Andres C. 7. Garcia G. 9. Munoz V.
Substitutes
38. Arenas M. 14. Ballero S. 22. Diao U. 34. Encuentra J. 9. Fernandez Sanchez M. 30. Garcia G. (G) 33. Garcia P. 19. Ilahude D. 24. Joao Fersura 29. Oreiro J. 21. Zidane E.	11. Alonso B. 16. Antonio David 26. De Llanos H. 25. de Luis M. (G) 40. Diocou B. 4. Pujol E. 37. Valdepenas V. 36. Yanez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Munoz V. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Garcia G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pleguezuelo X. ↓, Zidane E. ↑,
46', Barea Fernandez I. ↓, Fernandez Sanchez M. ↑,
53', 0 - 3, Munoz V. ⚽,
56', Perez Guerrero D. 🟨,
57', Mendy N. 🟥,
59', Sanca M. ↓, Oreiro J. ↑,
66', Yusi ↓, Valdepenas V. ↑,
66', Angel M. ↓, Antonio David ↑,
71', Faye S. ↓, Joao Fersura ↑,
72', Rivas M. ↓, Pujol E. ↑,
72', Fortuny P. ↓, Alonso B. ↑,
75', 1 - 3, Fernandez Sanchez M. (Pen),
76', Ramon J. 🟨,
81', Zidane E. 🟨,
85', Antonio David 🟨,
85', Reina C. ↓, Diao U. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', Fernandez Sanchez M. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 14).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Betis B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Betis B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Betis B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:8 (average 0.3:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Betis B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Betis B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.01.25	Hércules - Betis B	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.25	Xerez Deportivo - Betis B	1:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.12.24	Betis B - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Marbella - Betis B	2:2 ✺
08.12.24	Betis B - Atlético Madrid B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWTL
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.01.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcoyano	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Ceuta - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Recreativo Huelva	2:1 ✺
06.12.24	Real Murcia - Real Madrid Castilla	3:1 ✺
30.11.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Mérida AD	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.09.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Betis B	1:1
27.05.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Betis B	4:0
18.12.21	Betis B - Real Madrid Castilla	0:3

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