Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 4

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Alves Batista E. (Bra)


	Internacional RS		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	6.5
	1.62	3.8	5.75
	1.6	3.75	6	Watch
	1.61	3.81	6.62
	1.6	3.81	6.62
	1.44	4.2	6.5
	1.59	3.94	5.91	Watch
	1.54	3.85	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.47)	3.86 ↓ (4.2)	6.26 ↓ (6.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
60.3%

Draw
24.5%

Atlético Goianiense
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

22.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

21.3%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Internacional RS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Internacional RS - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Internacional: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rochet S. (G) 16. Bustos F. 44. Vitao 25. Mercado G. 6. Rene 29. Thiago Maia 8. Bruno Henrique 27. Mauricio 21. Wesley Ribeiro 19. Borre R. 45. Lucca	1. Ronaldo Strada (G) 2. Bruno Tubarao 3. Adriano Martins 4. Alix Vinicius 6. Guilherme Romao 8. Rhaldney 5. Roni 10. Shaylon 7. Maguinho 11. Luiz Fernando 9. Rodriguez E.
Substitutes
31. Alario L. 26. Bernabei A. 15. Bruno Gomes 34. Carvalho Teixeira G. 12. Fabricio Santana (G) 5. Fernando 47. Gustavo Prado 3. Igor Gomes 2. Mallo H. 41. Matheus Dias 4. Robert Renan 40. Romulo	20. Cruz A. 16. Daniel 17. Derek 14. Lucas Kal 19. Max 13. Pedro Henrique 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 15. Rodallega Y. 18. Vagner Love
Coaches
Coudet E.	Jair Ventura

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rodriguez E. ↓, Derek ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Derek ⚽, Ronaldo Strada (A),
55', 1 - 1, Borre R. ⚽, Wesley Ribeiro (A),
60', Ronaldo Strada 🟨,
64', Lucca ↓, Alario L. ↑,
64', Bruno Henrique ↓, Gustavo Prado ↑,
80', Thiago Maia ↓, Fernando ↑,
80', Bustos F. ↓, Matheus Dias ↑,
85', Roni 🟨,
88', Rhaldney 🟨,
90', Maguinho ↓, Max ↑,
90', Luiz Fernando ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
90+5', Derek 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Internacional won 1.

Internacional is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Atlético GO is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético GO could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Internacional is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Internacional: Alan Patrick (Injury) Ivan (Injury) Valencia E. (Injury)

There will not play in Atlético GO: Gabriel Barros (Red Card) Luiz Felipe (Red Card)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Internacional won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Internacional won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Copa Sudamericana
25.04.24	Delfín - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
21.04.24	Athletico Paranaense - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
17.04.24	Palmeiras - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Internacional RS - Bahia	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
10.04.24	Internacional RS - Real Tomayapo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWWT
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie A
21.04.24	Atlético Goianiense - São Paulo	0:3 ✺
18.04.24	Botafogo RJ - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Atlético Goianiense - Flamengo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
07.04.24	Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova	3:1 ✺
31.03.24	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
19.09.22	Atlético Goianiense - Internacional RS	1:2
30.05.22	Internacional RS - Atlético Goianiense	1:1
06.12.21	Internacional RS - Atlético Goianiense	1:2
29.08.21	Atlético Goianiense - Internacional RS	0:0
28.11.20	Atlético Goianiense - Internacional RS	0:0
Copa do Brasil
03.11.20	Internacional RS - Atlético Goianiense	2:1
28.10.20	Atlético Goianiense - Internacional RS	1:2

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