Match Info

Serie B - Round 22

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Antonio Accioly (Goiânia)

Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Atlético Goianiense		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.9	Watch
	1.95	3.10	3.75
	1.92	3.1	4	Watch
	2.05	3.25	4.31
	1.95	3.25	4.13	Watch
	2.01	3.1	4.25
	1.94	3.38	3.88	Watch
	1.94	3.15	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.95)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	4.03 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Goianiense
47.7%

Draw
29.1%

Vila Nova
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

29%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

28.1%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paulo Vitor (G) 2. Ewerthon 3. Barreto Viera O. J. 4. Adriano Martins 6. Guilherme 8. Peixoto 5. Cristiano 7. Bruno Jose 10. Henrique Freitas 11. Geovany Soares 9. Gustavo Coutinho (C)	1. Helton Leite (G) 20. Nathan Camargo 3. Tiago Pagnussat 23. Breno Augusto 6. Higor 5. Joao Vieira 15. Dudu 7. Andre Luis 10. Marquinhos Gabriel (C) 99. Janderson 49. Dellatorre
Substitutes
20. Guilherme 22. Gustavo Maia 17. Igor Henrique 18. Joao Pedro 16. Leandro Vilela 23. Leo Tocantins 21. Matheusinho 19. Netinho 12. Paulo Henrique (G) 14. Tito 13. Warley 15. Yuri	33. Bruno Xavier 31. Dodo 70. Emerson Urso 18. Enzo Bizzotto 17. Everton Galdino 30. Gabriel Atila (G) 9. Gustavo Puskas 22. Hayner 21. Higor Meritao 16. Igor Carius 13. Willian Formiga 8. Willian Maranhao
Coaches
Roger Silva	Guto Ferreira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Ewerthon ↓, Warley ↑,
39', Geovany Soares 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 1, Joao Vieira ⚽, Marquinhos Gabriel (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bruno Jose ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
46', Nathan Camargo ↓, Hayner ↑,
51', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
56', Guilherme 🟨,
61', Henrique Freitas ↓, Guilherme ↑,
62', Peixoto 🟨,
70', Cristiano ↓, Igor Henrique ↑,
70', Peixoto ↓, Netinho ↑,
70', Andre Luis ↓, Everton Galdino ↑,
71', Igor Henrique 🟨,
73', 0 - 2, Dudu ⚽,
77', Dudu ↓, Willian Maranhao ↑,
87', Janderson ↓, Emerson Urso ↑,
87', Marquinhos Gabriel ↓, Higor Meritao ↑,
90+1', Emerson Urso 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 3.

Atlético GO is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vila Nova is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Atlético GO is the team to beat.

There will not play in Vila Nova: Ryan (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Vila Nova: Rafa Silva (Knee Injury) Willian Maranhao (Inactive)

We predict that Atlético GO will win today's game, with odds of 1.93.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético GO won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético GO won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vila Nova FC	32	17	7	8	44:31	13	58
6	Atletico GO	32	14	10	8	40:30	10	52

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
09.08.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
27.07.26	Atlético Goianiense - Operário Ferroviario	3:1 ✺
23.07.26	Cuiabá - Atlético Goianiense	0:1 ✺
18.07.26	Atlético Goianiense - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	Atlético Goianiense - Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWTW
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
08.08.26	Vila Nova - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
27.07.26	CRB Maceio - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Vila Nova - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Criciúma - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Juventude - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
04.04.26	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
01.03.26	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	0:0
22.02.26	Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova	2:0
25.01.26	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	1:2
Brazilian Serie B
18.10.25	Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova	1:0
28.06.25	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
26.01.25	Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova	1:3

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