Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 3

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Vila Nova		Atlético Goianiense

	1	X	2
	2.01	3	4	Watch
	2.1	2.88	3.85	Watch
	2.14	3	4.27
	2.33	2.78	3.65	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.9
	2.01	3.01	4.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.13)	2.91 ↓ (3.06)	3.97 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
44.3%

Draw
32.2%

Atlético Goianiense
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

30.5%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

30.2%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Atlético Goianiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Atlético GO will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Helton Leite (G) 2. Elias 4. Pedro Romano 38. Caio Marcelo 6. Higor 8. Willian Maranhao 15. Dudu 5. Joao Vieira 10. Marquinhos Gabriel (C) 99. Janderson 9. Rafa Silva	1. Vladimir (G) 2. Ewerthon 3. Tito 4. Barreto Viera O. J. 6. Guilherme 8. Igor Henrique (C) 5. Cristiano 7. Assis 10. Marrony 11. Geovany Soares 9. Leo Jaco
Substitutes
33. Bruno Xavier 29. Dalberson (G) 21. Dodo 70. Emerson Urso 18. Enzo Bizzotto 19. Gustavo Puskas 22. Hayner 20. Nathan Camargo 14. Nunes S. 11. Ryan 3. Tiago Pagnussat 13. Willian Formiga	17. Ariel 21. Bruno Jose 13. Felipe Guimaraes 16. Geovane 18. Guilherme 20. Gustavo Coutinho 15. Gustavo Daniel 19. Jader 22. Leo Tocantins 14. Nata 12. Paulo Henrique (G)
Coaches
Guto Ferreira	Eduardo Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Higor 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Marrony ⚽, Geovany Soares (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Joao Vieira ↓, Ryan ↑,
57', Leo Jaco 🟨,
58', Geovany Soares ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
59', Assis ↓, Guilherme ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Marquinhos Gabriel (Penalty Awarded),
66', Janderson ↓, Emerson Urso ↑,
66', Elias ↓, Hayner ↑,
67', Cristiano 🟨,
72', Leo Jaco ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
73', Marrony ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
74', Dudu 🟨,
78', Willian Maranhao ↓, Nathan Camargo ↑,
85', Rafa Silva ↓, Gustavo Puskas ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Gustavo Puskas ⚽,
89', Gustavo Puskas 🟨,
90', Cristiano ↓, Ariel ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-2. Aggregate: 0-2. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Vila Nova could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Vila Nova: Dellatorre (Red Card)

There will not play in Atlético GO: Adriano Martins (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.3:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Vila Nova FC	32	17	7	8	44:31	13	58
6	Atletico GO	32	14	10	8	40:30	10	52

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
01.04.26	Sport Recife - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
28.03.26	Vila Nova - Operário MS	6:0 ✺
24.03.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Vila Nova - CRB Maceio	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	Vila Nova - Confiança	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLTL
- Atlético Goianiense
Brazilian Serie B
01.04.26	Atlético Goianiense - Náutico Capibaribe	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
29.03.26	Porto Vitória - Atlético Goianiense	3:2 ✺
26.03.26	Atlético Goianiense - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Operário Ferroviario - Atlético Goianiense	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.26	Atlético Goianiense - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
01.03.26	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	0:0
22.02.26	Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova	2:0
25.01.26	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	1:2
Brazilian Serie B
18.10.25	Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova	1:0
28.06.25	Vila Nova - Atlético Goianiense	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
26.01.25	Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova	1:3
07.04.24	Atlético Goianiense - Vila Nova	3:1

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