Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 15

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru


	Internacional RS		Ceará

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.68	3.7	5.25
	1.65	3.6	5.3
	1.69	3.72	5.87
	1.57	3.62	6.62	Watch
	1.67	3.5	5.5
	1.67	3.67	5.87	Watch
	1.52	3.8	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.52)	3.67 ↓ (3.8)	5.81 ↓ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
57.8%

Draw
25.8%

Ceará
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

24.6%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

23.7%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Ceará has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Internacional RS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Internacional RS - Ceará Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Ceará (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Internacional (1.22) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -0.75 - Internacional (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Internacional RS will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Internacional RS will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Internacional (votes: 9 - 75%). Ceará (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rochet S. (G) 35. Aguirre B. 4. Vitao 41. Victor Gabriel 26. Bernabei A. 29. Thiago Maia 8. Bruno Henrique 10. Alan Patrick (C) 21. Wesley 19. Borre R. 7. Carbonero J.	94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 70. Fabiano 3. Marllon (C) 23. Willian Machado 79. Matheus Bahia 31. Lucas Lima 20. Diego 8. Matheus Araujo 27. Galeano A. 9. Pedro Raul 7. Pedro Henrique
Substitutes
24. Anthoni (G) 23. Benitez A. 17. Bruno Tabata 20. Clayton Sampaio 33. Diego Rosa 47. Gustavo Prado 18. Juninho 39. Luis Otavio 25. Mercado G. 2. Ramon 48. Raykkonen 13. Valencia E.	11. Aylon 29. Bruno Tubarao 33. Eder 16. Fernando Miguel (G) 88. Fernando Sobral 97. Lourenco 44. Marcos Victor 30. Nicolas 2. Ramos R. 1. Richard (G) 26. Richardson 19. Romulo
Coaches
Roger Machado	Leo Conde

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Alan Patrick ⚽, Borre R. (A),
42', Carbonero J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Matheus Bahia 🟨,
55', Marllon 🟨,
59', Fabiano ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
59', Lucas Lima ↓, Lourenco ↑,
66', Carbonero J. ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
66', Bruno Henrique ↓, Luis Otavio ↑,
68', Matheus Araujo ↓, Aylon ↑,
78', Wesley ↓, Gustavo Prado ↑,
78', Borre R. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
80', Diego ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
80', Pedro Henrique ↓, Bruno Tubarao ↑,
80', Thiago Maia ↓, Diego Rosa ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ceará has had a series of away games.

In this match, Internacional is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Internacional: Bruno Gomes (Knee Injury) Drummond L. (Knee Injury) Fernando (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ceará: Lucas Mugni (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Ceará: Gabriel Lacerda (Inactive) Luiz Otavio (Knee Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
12.07.25	Internacional RS - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
12.06.25	Atlético Mineiro - Internacional RS	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Internacional RS - Fluminense	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.25	Internacional RS - Bahia	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.05.25	Sport Recife - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWT
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Serie A
16.07.25	Ceará - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
13.07.25	Fortaleza - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.07.25	Sport Recife - Ceará	0:1 penalties ✺
07.06.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Ceará	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.06.25	Botafogo RJ - Ceará	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
26.10.22	Internacional RS - Ceará	2:1
02.07.22	Ceará - Internacional RS	1:1
06.10.21	Ceará - Internacional RS	0:0
20.06.21	Internacional RS - Ceará	1:1
07.01.21	Ceará - Internacional RS	0:2
10.09.20	Internacional RS - Ceará	2:0
07.11.19	Ceará - Internacional RS	2:0

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