Match Info

Serie B - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)

Referee: Machado B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping


	Sport Recife		Ceará

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.32	3	3.1
	2.41	3.1	3.38
	2.34	3.04	3.22	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.25
	2.35	3	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.37)	3.03 ↓ (3.06)	3.23 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
40.5%

Draw
30.7%

Ceará
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

30.5%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

30.5%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Ceará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceará than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Sport Recife - Ceará Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Thiago Couto (G) 13. Madson 5. Benevenuto (C) 3. Marcelo Ajul 60. Felipinho 58. Ze Lucas 6. Biel Fonseca 30. Chrystian Barletta 10. de Pena Carlos 25. Clayson 9. Pedro Perotti	94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 2. Ramos R. 33. Eder (C) 4. Luiz Otavio 17. Fernando 31. Lucas Lima 25. Vinicius Zanocelo 40. Melk 8. Matheus Araujo 11. Fernandinho 99. Lucca
Substitutes
68. Augusto 96. Edson Lucas 11. Gustavo Maia 28. Habraao 1. Halls (G) 95. Iury Castilho 31. Marlon Douglas 8. Max Alves 48. Pedro Martins 7. Yago Felipe 23. Ze Gabriel 4. Ze Marcos	20. Diego 63. Gilmar 35. Giulio 41. Gustavo Martins (G) 30. Gustavo Prado 81. Joao Gabriel 10. Juan Alano 18. Julio Cesar 7. Pedro Henrique 26. Richardson 12. Sanchez
Coaches
Azevedo M.	Mozart

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Marcelo Ajul 🟨,
33', Bruno Ferreira 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Clayson ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Chrystian Barletta (Penalty Awarded),
57', Chrystian Barletta 🟨,
61', Lucca 🟨,
66', Matheus Araujo ↓, Diego ↑,
66', Vinicius Zanocelo ↓, Juan Alano ↑,
66', Melk ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
66', Fernando ↓, Sanchez ↑,
69', Ramos R. 🟨,
71', 2 - 0, Madson ⚽, Marlon Douglas (A),
75', Madson ↓, Augusto ↑,
83', Biel Fonseca ↓, Yago Felipe ↑,
83', Fernandinho ↓, Giulio ↑,
87', Sanchez 🟨,
90', Chrystian Barletta ↓, Iury Castilho ↑,
90', de Pena Carlos ↓, Max Alves ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ceará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recife is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Recife: Ze Roberto (Inactive)

There will not play in Ceará: Richard (Injury)

There are questionable in Recife: Ze Marcos (Injury)

There are questionable in Ceará: Matheusinho (Inactive) Wendel Silva (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Recife won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Sport Recife	32	13	11	8	44:34	10	50
15	Ceara	31	10	9	12	34:39	-5	39

Last Results with these Odds

Ceará - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.11%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	Fortaleza - Sport Recife	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
25.04.26	Sport Recife - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	América Mineiro - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.04.26	Sport Recife - Maranhão	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
11.04.26	Sport Recife - Avaí	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTWT
- Ceará SC
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.04.26	Maranhão - Ceará	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.26	Ceará - Vila Nova	3:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.04.26	Atlético Mineiro - Ceará	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
19.04.26	Londrina - Ceará	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.04.26	Ceará - Jacuipense	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
15.10.25	Sport Recife - Ceará	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
09.07.25	Sport Recife - Ceará	0:1 penalties
Brazilian Serie A
17.05.25	Ceará - Sport Recife	2:0
Brazilian Serie B
07.10.24	Sport Recife - Ceará	2:1
20.06.24	Ceará - Sport Recife	0:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
10.04.24	Sport Recife - Ceará	2:1
Brazilian Serie B
27.10.23	Ceará - Sport Recife	2:1

Upcoming Matches