Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 6

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday

Location: Estádio Major José Levy Sobrinho (Limeira)


	Internacional de Limeira		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3	3.55
	2.12	3.1	3.8
	2.09	3.02	3.85
	2.05	2.7	3.6
	2.03	2.91	3.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.29)	2.95 ↑ (2.8)	3.71 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional de Limeira
44.4%

Draw
31%

Santa Cruz Recife
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

32.4%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

31.1%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional de Limeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional de Limeira than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Internacional de Limeira - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Saulo (C) 10. Claudinho 20. Fabricio Dias 3. Frazan 6. Joao Victor 25. Lucas Buchecha 4. Lucas Santos 9. Miguel Bianconi 32. Richard 7. Vitor Leque 2. Yan Silva	1. Thiago Coelho (G) 3. Eurico 37. Everaldo 13. Matheus Vinicius 5. Pedro Favela 17. Ronald 26. Silva 23. Tiago Marques (C) 18. Vitinho 4. William Alves 31. Ze Mario
Substitutes
23. Emerson Junior (G) 31. Emerson Santos 22. Gabriel Dias 17. Getulio 34. Leo Paraiso 8. Luiz Guilherme 26. Marco Antonio 14. Nassom 16. Robinho 30. Robson 5. Ronaldo Henrique 27. Vidal	6. Alex Ruan 15. Andrey 27. Edson Miranda 28. Eron 25. Gabriel Souza (G) 8. Leo Costa 29. Marcos Andre 20. Patrick Allan 9. Quirino 19. Renato 11. Robinho 12. Rokenedy (G)
Coaches
Matheus Costa	Cristian Souza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Ze Mario 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Ze Mario ↓, Alex Ruan ↑,
52', Vitinho 🟨,
58', Silva 🟨,
59', Lucas Buchecha 🟨,
59', 0 - 1, Ronald ⚽,
62', Silva ↓, Leo Costa ↑,
62', Claudinho ↓, Getulio ↑,
63', Lucas Buchecha ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
67', Tiago Marques ↓, Andrey ↑,
67', Pedro Favela ↓, Quirino ↑,
69', Lucas Santos 🟨,
71', Lucas Santos ↓, Ronaldo Henrique ↑,
73', Andrey 🟨,
74', 🟨,
74', 0 - 2, Saulo (Own goal),
75', 1 - 2, Getulio ⚽,
82', 🟨,
83', Richard ↓, Luiz Guilherme ↑,
83', Vitor Leque ↓, Robinho ↑,
90+3', Ronaldo Henrique 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 17).

Inter de Limeira has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Santa Cruz is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Inter de Limeira is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Santa Cruz: 41.91%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Limeira
Brazilian Serie C
02.05.26	Confiança - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Internacional de Limeira	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Internacional de Limeira - Ituano	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Anápolis - Internacional de Limeira	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Internacional de Limeira - Floresta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WTTWL
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie C
02.05.26	Guarani - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Amazonas	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Confiança - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Floresta - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTW

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