Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 5

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Guarani		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.3	4.75
	1.77	3.35	5.09
	1.74	3.31	5.22
	1.7	3	4.8
	1.68	3.24	5.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.59)	3.24 ↓ (3.46)	4.98 ↓ (5.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
53.5%

Draw
28.2%

Santa Cruz Recife
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

26.4%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Guarani - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Caique Franca (G) 15. Carlos Eduardo 6. Emerson Barbosa 21. Guilherme Cachoeira 11. Herbert 10. Joao Paulo 4. Jonathan Costa 19. Maranhao 13. Mauricio Antonio 8. Willian Farias (C) 2. Yan Henrique	1. Thiago Coelho (G) 27. Edson Miranda 3. Eurico 37. Everaldo 7. Fabinho (C) 20. Patrick Allan 17. Ronald 26. Silva 2. Thiago Ennes 23. Tiago Marques 31. Ze Mario
Substitutes
17. Dentinho 20. Diego Torres 7. Guilherme Parede 23. Kaua Jesus 9. Kewen 12. Mateus Claus (G) 22. Mirandinha 18. Nathan Melo 5. Rafael Donato 3. Raphael 16. Renan Castro 14. Ynaia	6. Alex Ruan 28. Eron 25. Gabriel Souza (G) 30. Jefferson Bahia 29. Marcos Andre 21. Nilton 5. Pedro Favela 9. Quirino 19. Renato 12. Rokenedy (G) 18. Vitinho 4. William Alves
Coaches
Sizenando E.	Claudinei Oliveira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Yan Henrique 🟨,
44', Emerson Barbosa ↓, Renan Castro ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Edson Miranda 🟨,
69', Willian Farias 🟨,
79', Eurico 🟨,
83', Maranhao 🟨,
86', Renato 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 0, Willian Farias ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).

Santa Cruz's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Guarani is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Santa Cruz: 41.91%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie C
27.04.26	Ferroviária - Guarani	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Guarani - Itabaiana	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Guarani - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Maranhão - Guarani	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Castanhal - Guarani	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTWTL
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie C
26.04.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Amazonas	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Confiança - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Floresta - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Itabaiana	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.03.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Sousa	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTWL

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