Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 1

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estádio José do Rego Maciel (Recife)


	Santa Cruz Recife		Itabaiana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.55
	1.85	2.88	5.72
	1.69	3.41	5.37
	1.75	2.9	4.6
	1.81	2.83	5.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.82)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)	5.07 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
51.7%

Draw
30.3%

Itabaiana
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

29.1%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Santa Cruz Recife - Itabaiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Gabriel Souza (G) 3. Eurico 14. Israel 22. Matheus Regis 5. Pedro Favela 19. Renato 17. Ronald 23. Tiago Marques 8. Wagner Balotelli 4. William Alves (C) 31. Ze Mario	1. Jefferson (G) 3. Betao 11. Caio Felipe 9. Everton Kanela 5. Gustavo Crecci 8. Karl (C) 7. Leilson 4. Ligger 2. Ricardo Cerqueira 10. Rodrigo Alves 6. Tito
Substitutes
27. Edson Miranda 7. Fabinho 30. Jefferson Bahia 29. Marcos Andre 20. Patrick Allan 9. Quirino 11. Robinho 16. Rodrigues 26. Silva 1. Thiago Coelho (G) 2. Thiago Ennes 18. Vitinho	17. Balde R. 18. Elimar 15. Fabricio Moura 12. Geaze (G) 13. Gustavo Fagundes 21. Isaque 19. Luan Silva 14. Lucao 23. Lucas Bessa 22. Pedro Igor 20. Renatinho 16. Tarcisio
Coaches
Claudinei Oliveira	Gilson Kleina

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Karl 🟨,
37', Caio Felipe 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Matheus Regis ↓, Quirino ↑,
46', Renato ↓, Marcos Andre ↑,
47', Tito 🟨,
52', Wagner Balotelli 🟨,
54', Tito ↓, Tarcisio ↑,
62', Rodrigo Alves ↓, Fabricio Moura ↑,
62', Caio Felipe ↓, Luan Silva ↑,
64', Tiago Marques ↓, Patrick Allan ↑,
69', Pedro Favela ↓, Silva ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Marcos Andre ⚽,
75', Karl ↓, Isaque ↑,
75', Leilson ↓, Renatinho ↑,

Preview

Itabaiana has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Santa Cruz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Santa Cruz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Santa Cruz: 41.91%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Copa do Brasil
05.03.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Sousa	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
22.02.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Náutico Capibaribe	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Decisão	1:0 ✺
05.02.26	Decisão - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWW
- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
25.03.26	Itabaiana - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
08.03.26	Itabaiana - América de Propriá	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
04.03.26	Manauara - Itabaiana	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
28.02.26	Itabaiana - Confiança	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Confiança - Itabaiana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
02.02.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Itabaiana	2:0
26.01.21	Itabaiana - Santa Cruz Recife	2:2
01.04.17	Santa Cruz Recife - Itabaiana	1:0
29.03.17	Itabaiana - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1

Upcoming Matches