Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - ROUND 5

Date: 28 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Major José Levy Sobrinho (Limeira)

Referee: dos Santos F. (Bra)


	Internacional de Limeira		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	7	3.8	1.5	Watch
	7	4	1.49
	6.5	4	1.5	Watch
	7	3.95	1.45
	7.47	4.2	1.47
	7	3.7	1.44
	6.89	3.88	1.48
	6.8	3.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.96 ↑ (5.43)	3.92 ↑ (3.55)	1.47 ↓ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional de Limeira
13.3%

Draw
23.7%

São Paulo
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

25.8%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

25.2%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional de Limeira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

São Paulo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Paulo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional de Limeira than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Paulo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Internacional de Limeira - São Paulo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Max Walef (G) 2. Felipe Albuquerque 16. Cesar Morais 5. Emerson Santos 4. Diego Jussani 21. Lucas Buchecha 3. Mauricio Ribeiro 8. Gustavo Bochecha 17. Andrew 9. Quirino 7. Everton Brito	23. Rafael (G) 2. Igor Vinicius 3. Ferraresi N. 5. Robert Arboleda 6. Welington 25. Alisson 7. Lucas Moura 27. Wellington Rato 29. Pablo Maia 47. Ferreirinha 9. Jonathan Calleri
Substitutes
27. Albano 1. Andre L. 20. Gabriel Silva 13. Guilherme Mariano 19. Joao Felipe 12. Jonathan (G) 22. JP Galvao 25. Kaue 29. Lima 28. Matheus Galdezani 34. Matheus Mancini 18. Rafael Silva	21. Bobadilla D. 4. Diego Costa 33. Erick 28. Franco A. 93. Jandrei (G) 31. Juan Santos 10. Luciano 15. Michel Araujo 43. Nikao 36. Patryck 55. Rodriguez J. 39. William Gomes
Coaches
Junior Rocha	Thiago Carpini

Preview

Inter de Limeira is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches São Paulo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

São Paulo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match São Paulo is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Inter de Limeira won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Inter de Limeira won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Limeira
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
24.02.24	Santo André - Internacional de Limeira	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Água Santa - Internacional de Limeira	2:1 ✺
15.02.24	Internacional de Limeira - Grêmio Novorizontino	3:1 ✺
11.02.24	Internacional de Limeira - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
08.02.24	Guarani - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TLWWW
- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
25.02.24	Guarani - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2 ✺
14.02.24	São Paulo - Santos	0:1 ✺
10.02.24	Ponte Preta - São Paulo	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	São Paulo - Água Santa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.23	São Paulo - Internacional de Limeira	5:1
17.02.22	São Paulo - Internacional de Limeira	0:0
03.03.21	Internacional de Limeira - São Paulo	0:4

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