Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA - ROUND 6

Date: 7 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Do MorumBIS (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	São Paulo		Água Santa

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	8	Watch
	1.35	4.6	9.25
	1.33	4.75	9.5	Watch
	1.33	4.4	9.4
	1.33	4.59	10.7
	1.29	4.33	10
	1.33	4.5	9.55
	1.32	4.4	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.3)	4.57 ↓ (4.75)	9.4 ↓ (9.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
69.8%

Draw
20.3%

Água Santa
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

19.4%

9.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.8%

18.4%

9.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Água Santa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Água Santa than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

São Paulo - Água Santa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Água Santa will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
93. Jandrei (G) 30. Joao Moreira 3. Ferraresi N. 28. Franco A. 36. Patryck 16. Luiz Gustavo 25. Alisson 14. Giuliano Galoppo 21. Bobadilla D. 47. Ferreirinha 33. Erick	1. Ygor Vinhas (G) 2. Alex Silva 3. Walber 4. Jhonnathan 5. Thiaguinho 8. Igor Henrique (C) 6. Gabriel Inocencio 11. Bruno Xavier 10. Luan Dias 7. Keke 9. Bruno Mezenga
Substitutes
4. Diego Costa 9. Jonathan Calleri 31. Juan Santos 10. Luciano 43. Nikao 29. Pablo Maia 23. Rafael (G) 5. Robert Arboleda 18. Rodriguinho 6. Welington 27. Wellington Rato 39. William Gomes	13. Anderson 12. Arceli L. (G) 15. Cristiano 22. Jael 24. Jota 20. Junior Todinho 17. Kady 16. Leo Sena 19. Rafael Oller 14. Rhuan 21. Ronald 18. Villian
Coaches
Thiago Carpini	Bruno Pivetti

Preview

São Paulo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Água Santa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Água Santa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match São Paulo is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Supercopa do Brasil
04.02.24	Palmeiras - São Paulo	0:1 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
30.01.24	Corinthians - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	São Paulo - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
23.01.24	Mirassol - São Paulo	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	São Paulo - Santo André	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWTW
- EC Água Santa
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
03.02.24	Água Santa - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
31.01.24	Água Santa - Santos	0:1 ✺
28.01.24	Santo André - Água Santa	0:0 ✺
23.01.24	Água Santa - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Água Santa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
13.03.23	São Paulo - Água Santa	0:1 penalties
28.02.22	Água Santa - São Paulo	1:2
22.01.20	São Paulo - Água Santa	2:0
06.02.16	São Paulo - Água Santa	4:0

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