Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Doce de Octubre (Tulua) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Alba J. (Col)


	Internacional de Palmira		Atlético Bucaramanga

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.5
	2.1	3.2	3.3
	2.1	3.1	3.45
	2.12	3.25	3.35
	2.24	3.16	3.66
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.09	3.28	3.35
	2.08	3.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.7)	3.2 (3.2)	3.43 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional de Palmira
43.7%

Draw
29.1%

Atlético Bucaramanga
27.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.7%

28.4%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

28.9%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional de Palmira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Internacional de Palmira's performance.

Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Bucaramanga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional de Palmira than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Internacional de Palmira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Bucaramanga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	37.5%	37.5%

Internacional de Palmira - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Inter Palmira will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bucaramanga: 13.8% – 61.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cortuluá won 1.

Cortuluá is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bucaramanga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cortuluá could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cortuluá won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Cortuluá won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Palmira
Colombian Primera A
27.09.22	Deportivo Pasto - Internacional de Palmira	1:0 ✺
21.09.22	Internacional de Palmira - Deportivo Cali	2:0 ✺
17.09.22	Envigado - Internacional de Palmira	3:2 ✺
10.09.22	Internacional de Palmira - Unión Magdalena	1:2 ✺
03.09.22	Deportes Tolima - Internacional de Palmira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWLLT
- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A
24.09.22	Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas	0:0 ✺
20.09.22	Jaguares de Córdoba - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:1 ✺
16.09.22	Atlético Bucaramanga - Independiente Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
11.09.22	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:1 ✺
03.09.22	Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
12.04.22	Atlético Bucaramanga - Internacional de Palmira	3:2
12.08.17	Atlético Bucaramanga - Internacional de Palmira	0:1
01.03.17	Internacional de Palmira - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0
29.10.16	Atlético Bucaramanga - Internacional de Palmira	3:1
15.05.16	Internacional de Palmira - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:0
Colombian Primera B
25.09.14	Atlético Bucaramanga - Internacional de Palmira	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A
02.11.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional	✺

Internacional de Palmira - Atlético Bucaramanga